Match Info

Primera C - Round 8

Date: 18 April 2026, Saturday


	El Porvenir		Justo José de Urquiza

	1	X	2
	2.32	2.72	3.15
	2.36	2.61	3.29
	2.41	2.65	3.33	Watch
	2.4	2.63	3.1
	2.36	2.65	3.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↓ (2.61)	2.65 ↓ (2.73)	3.24 ↑ (2.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

El Porvenir
38.1%

Draw
34%

Justo José de Urquiza
27.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.5%

33%

32.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.2%

32.3%

31.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

El Porvenir has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Justo José de Urquiza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for El Porvenir than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Justo José de Urquiza than the current prediction. (+4%)

El Porvenir - Justo José de Urquiza Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
54', Benitez L. 🟥,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 10 and 11)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, El Porvenir won 0.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, El Porvenir won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 0.6:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, El Porvenir won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 0.5:0.5).

Last Results with these Odds

El Porvenir - the odds 2.61 are the expected chance of winning is 34.48%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club El Porvenir
Argentinian Primera C
13.04.26	Deportivo Yupanqui - El Porvenir	2:2 ✺
30.03.26	El Porvenir - Sportivo Barracas	2:2 ✺
21.03.26	El Porvenir - Mercedes	1:1 ✺
14.03.26	Club Luján - El Porvenir	1:1 ✺
09.03.26	Leones de Rosario - El Porvenir	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 TTTTT
- Justo José de Urquiza
Argentinian Primera C
13.04.26	Justo José de Urquiza - Estrella del Sur	1:1 ✺
28.03.26	Justo José de Urquiza - Victoriano Arenas	1:0 ✺
23.03.26	Deportivo Muñiz - Justo José de Urquiza	1:1 ✺
14.03.26	Centro Español - Justo José de Urquiza	0:0 ✺
28.02.26	Justo José de Urquiza - Lugano	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 TWTTL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera C
27.07.25	El Porvenir - Justo José de Urquiza	0:0
13.04.25	Justo José de Urquiza - El Porvenir	2:1
21.07.24	Justo José de Urquiza - El Porvenir	0:0
18.02.24	El Porvenir - Justo José de Urquiza	1:1
19.05.18	Justo José de Urquiza - El Porvenir	2:0
28.01.18	El Porvenir - Justo José de Urquiza	1:1
08.04.17	Justo José de Urquiza - El Porvenir	1:2

Upcoming Matches