Match Info

III Liga - Group II - Round 30

Date: 9 May 2026, Saturday


	Elana Toruń		Zawisza Bydgoszcz

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.65	1.92
	3.17	4.01	1.9	Watch
	2.98	4.22	1.97	Watch
	3.23	3.61	1.84
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.15 ↓ (3.23)	3.87 ↑ (3.61)	1.91 ↑ (1.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elana Toruń
28.9%

Draw
23.5%

Zawisza Bydgoszcz
47.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.4%

24.5%

48.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.8%

24%

49.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elana Toruń has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Zawisza Bydgoszcz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elana Toruń than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zawisza Bydgoszcz than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Elana Toruń - Zawisza Bydgoszcz Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
8', 0 - 1, Kona M. (Penalty Awarded),
14', 0 - 2, Rak S. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
70', 0 - 3, Golak S. ⚽,
88', 🟥,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 4 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 2).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Elana Toruń won 2.

Recent form of Elana Toruń has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Zawisza's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Zawisza could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Elana Toruń won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:5. (average 1.2:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Elana Toruń won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Elana Torun	12	3	4	5	17:22	-5	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Elana Toruń
Polish Division 3 - Group II
01.05.26	Września - Elana Toruń	3:2 ✺
25.04.26	Elana Toruń - Kluczevia Stargard	1:1 ✺
19.04.26	Luzino - Elana Toruń	2:1 ✺
11.04.26	Elana Toruń - Lipno Stęszew	1:1 ✺
03.04.26	Elana Toruń - Wda Świecie	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LTLTL
- Zawisza Bydgoszcz
Polish Division 3 - Group II
01.05.26	Zawisza Bydgoszcz - Flota Świnoujście	0:1 ✺
25.04.26	Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński - Zawisza Bydgoszcz	2:3 ✺
18.04.26	Zawisza Bydgoszcz - Polonia Środa Wielkopolska	1:0 ✺
12.04.26	Wybrzeże Rewalskie Rewal - Zawisza Bydgoszcz	2:7 ✺
Polish Cup
08.04.26	Zawisza Bydgoszcz - Górnik Zabrze	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group II
18.10.25	Zawisza Bydgoszcz - Elana Toruń	1:1
31.05.25	Zawisza Bydgoszcz - Elana Toruń	1:2
09.11.24	Elana Toruń - Zawisza Bydgoszcz	1:1
02.03.24	Elana Toruń - Zawisza Bydgoszcz	1:0
12.08.23	Zawisza Bydgoszcz - Elana Toruń	0:0
12.09.21	Elana Toruń - Zawisza Bydgoszcz	2:2

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