Match Info

III Liga - Group II - Round 34

Date: 30 May 2026, Saturday


	Elana Toruń		Tłuchowia Tłuchowo

	1	X	2
	3.85	4.95	1.55
	5.06	4.57	1.42
	5.59	4.5	1.45	Watch
	5	4	1.44
	5.8	4.55	1.41	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.06 ↑ (1.85)	4.51 ↑ (3.89)	1.45 ↓ (3.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elana Toruń
17.9%

Draw
20%

Tłuchowia Tłuchowo
62.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.4%

23.5%

27.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.2%

22%

29%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elana Toruń has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-31.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Elana Toruń's form might have worsened.

Tłuchowia Tłuchowo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+35%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tłuchowia Tłuchowo's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elana Toruń than the current prediction. (+28.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Elana Toruń, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tłuchowia Tłuchowo than the current prediction. (-33.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tłuchowia Tłuchowo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Elana Toruń - Tłuchowia Tłuchowo Predictions

Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Tłuchowia will win (votes: 23 - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tłuchowia: 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tłuchowia (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
7', 0 - 1, Kaczmar M. ⚽,
19', 0 - 2, Kaczmar M. ⚽,
25', 1 - 2, Cabanski D. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
48', 2 - 2, Karbownik K. ⚽,
70', 2 - 3, ⚽,
80', 2 - 4, ⚽,
89', 2 - 5, ⚽,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 6 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Tłuchowia is Relegated to

Elana Toruń has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Tłuchowia has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Tłuchowia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Elana Toruń is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

We predict that Tłuchowia will win today's game, with odds of 3.16.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Elana Toruń won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	Elana Torun	11	2	4	5	16:22	-6	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Elana Toruń
Polish Division 3 - Group II
23.05.26	Elana Toruń - Noteć Czarnków	0:3 ✺
17.05.26	Elana Toruń - Unia Swarzędz	0:4 ✺
13.05.26	Pogoń Szczecin II - Elana Toruń	4:0 ✺
09.05.26	Elana Toruń - Zawisza Bydgoszcz	0:3 ✺
01.05.26	Września - Elana Toruń	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Tłuchowia Tłuchowo
Polish Division 3 - Group II
22.05.26	Tłuchowia Tłuchowo - Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński	1:4 ✺
16.05.26	Wda Świecie - Tłuchowia Tłuchowo	1:2 ✺
13.05.26	Tłuchowia Tłuchowo - Lech Poznań 2	3:1 ✺
08.05.26	Polonia Środa Wielkopolska - Tłuchowia Tłuchowo	3:1 ✺
01.05.26	Tłuchowia Tłuchowo - Pogoń Szczecin II	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25 LWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group II
15.11.25	Tłuchowia Tłuchowo - Elana Toruń	0:0

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