Match Info

III Liga - Group II - Round 32

Date: 16 May 2026, Saturday


	Wda Świecie		Tłuchowia Tłuchowo

	1	X	2
	1.58	3.95	4.55
	1.52	3.88	5.07
	1.63	3.85	4.54	Watch
	1.62	3.5	4.5
	1.6	3.84	4.63	Watch
	1.3	4.9	6.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↑ (1.3)	3.99 ↓ (4.9)	4.93 ↓ (6.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wda Świecie
58.8%

Draw
22.8%

Tłuchowia Tłuchowo
18.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68%

18%

14%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.8%

17.3%

13.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wda Świecie has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Wda Świecie's form might have worsened.

Tłuchowia Tłuchowo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wda Świecie than the current prediction. (+12%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Wda Świecie, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tłuchowia Tłuchowo than the current prediction. (-5%)

Wda Świecie - Tłuchowia Tłuchowo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
20', 1 - 0, Kalitta M. ⚽,
32', 1 - 1, Quaium M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
66', 1 - 2, Jarzebski E. ⚽,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 7 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Tłuchowia is Relegated to

Wda Świecie is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Tłuchowia's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Tłuchowia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Wda Świecie is a strong favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Wda Świecie won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Wda Swiecie	10	5	3	2	15:14	1	18

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wda Świecie
Polish Division 3 - Group II
13.05.26	Zawisza Bydgoszcz - Wda Świecie	1:0 ✺
09.05.26	Flota Świnoujście - Wda Świecie	0:3 ✺
01.05.26	Wda Świecie - Polonia Środa Wielkopolska	3:2 ✺
25.04.26	Wybrzeże Rewalskie Rewal - Wda Świecie	1:1 ✺
18.04.26	Wda Świecie - Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.4 LWWTW
- Tłuchowia Tłuchowo
Polish Division 3 - Group II
13.05.26	Tłuchowia Tłuchowo - Lech Poznań 2	3:1 ✺
08.05.26	Polonia Środa Wielkopolska - Tłuchowia Tłuchowo	3:1 ✺
01.05.26	Tłuchowia Tłuchowo - Pogoń Szczecin II	3:3 ✺
25.04.26	Tłuchowia Tłuchowo - Luzino	1:1 ✺
19.04.26	Września - Tłuchowia Tłuchowo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.4 WLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group II
31.10.25	Tłuchowia Tłuchowo - Wda Świecie	0:2

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