Match Info

III Liga - Group II - Round 31

Date: 13 May 2026, Wednesday


	Tłuchowia Tłuchowo		Lech Poznań 2

	1	X	2
	4.25	4.05	1.58
	4.11	4.25	1.6
	4.14	4.16	1.64	Watch
	4.2	3.6	1.62
	4.31	4.1	1.6	Watch
	4.2	4.2	1.53
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.2 (4.2)	4.06 ↓ (4.2)	1.6 ↑ (1.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tłuchowia Tłuchowo
21.4%

Draw
22.2%

Lech Poznań 2
56.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.1%

57.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20%

61%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tłuchowia Tłuchowo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Lech Poznań 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tłuchowia Tłuchowo than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lech Poznań 2 than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

Tłuchowia Tłuchowo - Lech Poznań 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
20', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
51', 1 - 1, Figura D. ⚽,
62', 2 - 1, Kieplin D. ⚽,
83', 3 - 1, Jarzebski E. ⚽,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 4).

Tłuchowia is Relegated to

Tłuchowia is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Lech 2 is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Lech 2 is the team to beat.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Tłuchowia won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Lech Poznan II	9	4	3	2	17:15	2	15

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tłuchowia Tłuchowo
Polish Division 3 - Group II
08.05.26	Polonia Środa Wielkopolska - Tłuchowia Tłuchowo	3:1 ✺
01.05.26	Tłuchowia Tłuchowo - Pogoń Szczecin II	3:3 ✺
25.04.26	Tłuchowia Tłuchowo - Luzino	1:1 ✺
19.04.26	Września - Tłuchowia Tłuchowo	1:0 ✺
11.04.26	Tłuchowia Tłuchowo - Kluczevia Stargard	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 LTTLL
- Lech Poznań 2
Polish Division 3 - Group II
09.05.26	Cartusia Kartuzy - Lech Poznań 2	0:0 ✺
30.04.26	Lech Poznań 2 - Wybrzeże Rewalskie Rewal	6:2 ✺
25.04.26	Pogoń Szczecin II - Lech Poznań 2	2:2 ✺
19.04.26	Lech Poznań 2 - Flota Świnoujście	3:1 ✺
15.04.26	Noteć Czarnków - Lech Poznań 2	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 TWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group II
26.10.25	Lech Poznań 2 - Tłuchowia Tłuchowo	2:1

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