Match Info

III Liga - Group II - Round 33

Date: 22 May 2026, Friday


	Tłuchowia Tłuchowo		Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński

	1	X	2
	3	3.65	1.98
	2.89	3.81	1.99
	2.92	4.1	1.97	Watch
	2.9	3.4	2
	3.06	3.68	1.99	Watch
	2.95	3.51	1.98
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.95 (2.95)	3.69 ↑ (3.51)	1.99 ↑ (1.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tłuchowia Tłuchowo
30.4%

Draw
24.3%

Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński
45.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30%

25.2%

44.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.3%

25.8%

45.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tłuchowia Tłuchowo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tłuchowia Tłuchowo than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Tłuchowia Tłuchowo - Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
8', 0 - 1, Prawucki K. ⚽,
22', 0 - 2, Niedojad-Bednarczyk D. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
65', 1 - 2, Walczak W. ⚽,
71', 1 - 3, Delner P. ⚽,
85', 1 - 4, Prawucki K. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 12).

Tłuchowia is Relegated to

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, Stargard is seen as the favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Tłuchowia won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Blekitni Stargard	11	5	3	3	27:19	8	18

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tłuchowia Tłuchowo
Polish Division 3 - Group II
16.05.26	Wda Świecie - Tłuchowia Tłuchowo	1:2 ✺
13.05.26	Tłuchowia Tłuchowo - Lech Poznań 2	3:1 ✺
08.05.26	Polonia Środa Wielkopolska - Tłuchowia Tłuchowo	3:1 ✺
01.05.26	Tłuchowia Tłuchowo - Pogoń Szczecin II	3:3 ✺
25.04.26	Tłuchowia Tłuchowo - Luzino	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 32 WWLTT
- Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński
Polish Division 3 - Group II
17.05.26	Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński - Noteć Czarnków	1:1 ✺
13.05.26	Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce - Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński	0:0 ✺
08.05.26	Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński - Wybrzeże Rewalskie Rewal	3:0 ✺
01.05.26	Unia Swarzędz - Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński	0:0 ✺
25.04.26	Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński - Zawisza Bydgoszcz	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 TTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group II
08.11.25	Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński - Tłuchowia Tłuchowo	3:2

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