Match Info
III Liga - Group II - Round 29Date: 1 May 2026, Friday
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Tłuchowia Tłuchowo |
|
Pogoń Szczecin II |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.78 |
3.65 |
2.1 |
|
 |
2.58 |
3.75 |
2.15 |
|
 |
3.01 |
3.76 |
2.02 |
 Watch |
 |
2.63 |
3.5 |
2.15 |
|
 |
3.09 |
3.7 |
2.06 |
Watch |
 |
3.8 |
3.55 |
1.73 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.98 ↓
(3.96) |
3.65 ↓
(4) |
2.04 ↑
(1.59) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
- The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Tłuchowia Tłuchowo
30.5% | Draw
24.9% | Pogoń Szczecin II
44.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tłuchowia Tłuchowo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tłuchowia Tłuchowo's performance.Pogoń Szczecin II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pogoń Szczecin II might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tłuchowia Tłuchowo than the current prediction. (-9.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tłuchowia Tłuchowo that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pogoń Szczecin II than the current prediction. (+15.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pogoń Szczecin II could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Tłuchowia Tłuchowo - Pogoń Szczecin II Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 5', 1 - 0, Kmiecik M. ⚽,
- 43', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 49', 1 - 2, ⚽,
- 55', 1 - 3, ⚽,
- 75', 2 - 3, Figura D. ⚽,
- 90+2', 3 - 3, Walczak W. ⚽,
Preview
In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 16 in the zone Relegation).Tłuchowia is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).Pogoń Szczecin II is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0). Pogoń Szczecin II will hold a modest advantage in this match.In the last 1 head-to-head match, Tłuchowia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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