Match Info

2. Lig White Group - Round 26

Date: 14 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Elazig Ataturk Stadyumu (Elazığ)


	Elazığspor		Karacabey Belediyespor

	1	X	2
	1.39	4.25	5.7
	1.44	4.3	6.32
	1.45	4.32	5.96	Watch
	1.4	3.9	6
	1.4	4.25	6.56
	1.42	4.25	5.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↑ (1.31)	4.21 ↓ (4.82)	6.05 ↓ (8.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elazığspor
63.7%

Draw
21.4%

Karacabey Belediyespor
14.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.4%

19.1%

10.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

76.1%

17.7%

9.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elazığspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Elazığspor's form might have worsened.

Karacabey Belediyespor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elazığspor than the current prediction. (+12.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Elazığspor, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karacabey Belediyespor than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Karacabey Belediyespor, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Elazığspor - Karacabey Belediyespor Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Elazığspor (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Elazığspor (1.71) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Elazığspor (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
43', 0 - 1, Ozdiraz M. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
70', 0 - 2, Ozdiraz M. (Penalty Awarded),
77', 1 - 2, Sonmez H. ⚽, Cam S. (A),

Preview

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, Elazığspor is considered a favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Elazığspor won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 1.7:0.3).

Including home match between the teams, Elazığspor won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Elazigspor	5	3	1	1	12:4	8	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Elazığspor
Turkish Second League White Group
08.02.26	Batman Petrolspor - Elazığspor	2:0 ✺
01.02.26	Elazığspor - Altınordu	2:0 ✺
27.01.26	Beyoglu Yeni Carsi - Elazığspor	0:0 ✺
23.01.26	Elazığspor - Ankaragücü	5:0 ✺
11.01.26	Adana 1954 - Elazığspor	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LWTWL
- Karacabey Belediyespor
Turkish Second League White Group
09.02.26	Karacabey Belediyespor - Adana 1954	1:1 ✺
01.02.26	24 Erzincanspor - Karacabey Belediyespor	0:0 ✺
28.01.26	Karacabey Belediyespor - Iskenderunspor	4:3 ✺
24.01.26	Erbaaspor - Karacabey Belediyespor	2:0 ✺
18.01.26	Karacabey Belediyespor - İnegölspor	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 TTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Second League White Group
05.10.25	Karacabey Belediyespor - Elazığspor	0:3
Turkish Second League Red Group
20.04.25	Elazığspor - Karacabey Belediyespor	1:0
08.12.24	Karacabey Belediyespor - Elazığspor	1:1

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