Match Info

SPAIN: LaLiga2 - Round 32

Date: 22 March 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero (Elche)

Referee: Galech I. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	Sky Sport
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
Spain	DAZN Espana, GolStadium, LaLiga Hypermotion, LaLiga TV Bar


	Elche		Eldense

	1	X	2
	1.67	3.6	5.5	Watch
	1.61	3.5	5.25
	1.69	3.5	5.2	Watch
	1.62	3.94	6.08
	1.75	3.49	5.21	Watch
	1.62	3.6	5.8
	1.72	3.62	5.15	Watch
	1.69	3.5	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↑ (1.58)	3.59 ↓ (3.83)	5.42 ↓ (6.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elche
56.4%

Draw
26.2%

Eldense
17.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.7%

24.6%

15.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.6%

26.6%

14.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elche has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Eldense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elche than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Elche, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Eldense than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	20%	13.3%

Elche - Eldense Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Elche will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). Eldense will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Elche: 54% – 99.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Dituro M. (G) 17. Josan 22. Affengruber D. 6. Bigas P. 12. Salinas J. 30. Mendoza R. 14. Febas A. 5. Donald J. 20. Valera G. 18. Kaba S. 7. Plano O.	1. Martin D. (G) 15. Gamez F. 4. Dumic D. 5. Pina 23. Mateu M. 8. Ortuno S. (C) 12. Diawara A. 6. Camarasa V. 17. Garcia V. 9. Quintana Nacho 10. Llabres J.
Substitutes
21. Castro N. 4. Diaby B. 19. El Ghezouani M. 31. Hernandez G. 35. Houary A. 3. Izquierdo J. 2. Mario Gaspar 10. Mercau N. 15. Nunez A. 23. Pejino 11. Rashani E. 1. San Roman M. (G)	21. Bernal A. 7. Bouzaidi S. 25. Collado D. 19. Fede 22. Gassama S. 13. Mackay I. (G) 3. Martos I. 16. Masca 14. Monsalve N. 11. Ortuno J. 2. Parra R. 24. Timor D.
Coaches
Sarabia E.	Oltra J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
21', Diawara A. 🟨,
28', Llabres J. ↓, Fede ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
59', Donald J. ↓, Nunez A. ↑,
59', Valera G. ↓, Pejino ↑,
59', Mendoza R. ↓, Castro N. ↑,
69', Quintana Nacho ↓, Collado D. ↑,
69', Diawara A. ↓, Timor D. ↑,
74', Kaba S. ↓, El Ghezouani M. ↑,
77', 1 - 0, Febas A. ⚽, Affengruber D. (A),
82', Camarasa V. ↓, Ortuno J. ↑,
82', Dumic D. ↓, Gassama S. ↑,
84', Garcia V. 🟨,
85', 2 - 0, Pejino ⚽, Josan (A),
88', Josan ↓, Rashani E. ↑,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 19 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Elche is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Eldense is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Eldense could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Elche is a favorite.

There will not play in Elche: Aguado M. (Muscle Injury) Alvarez A. (International duty) Santiago Y. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Eldense: Barzic M. (Yellow Cards) Mendez D. (Injury)

There are questionable in Elche: Mercau N. (Thigh Injury) Rashani E. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Eldense: Chapela I. (Muscle Injury)

Last 4 head-to-head matches Elche won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:3 (average 1:0.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Elche won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:2 (average 1.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Elche CF
Spanish LaLiga2
14.03.25	Real Oviedo - Elche	1:1 ✺
08.03.25	Elche - Castellón	3:1 ✺
02.03.25	Racing Santander - Elche	2:0 ✺
23.02.25	Elche - Cartagena	2:1 ✺
17.02.25	Almería - Elche	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 TWLWT
- CD Eldense
Spanish LaLiga2
16.03.25	Eldense - Mirandés	2:2 ✺
08.03.25	Zaragoza - Eldense	2:4 ✺
02.03.25	Eldense - Levante	1:2 ✺
23.02.25	Albacete Balompié - Eldense	0:1 ✺
16.02.25	Eldense - Deportivo A Coruña	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.3 TWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
14.12.24	Eldense - Elche	0:0
26.05.24	Elche - Eldense	1:2
15.10.23	Eldense - Elche	1:1
Club Friendly
19.07.14	Elche - Eldense	2:0

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