Match Info

LaLiga - Round 3

Date: 28 August 2026, Friday

Location: Estadio El Sardinero (Santander)

Referee: Muniz C. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 4
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 4
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3
Australia	beIN Sports 1
Austria	Laola1
Bolivia	ESPN 4
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 3
Brazil	Caze TV
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Canada	fubo Sports Network
Colombia	ESPN 4
Croatia	SportKlub 3
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 5, Oneplay
Denmark	Disney+
Ecuador	ESPN 4
Finland	Disney+
France	DAZN France, Disney+
Germany	DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch, Laola1
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 7
Hungary	Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
Israel	ONE Sport
Italy	DAZN Italia
Malta	TSN Malta 4
Mexico	Sky Sport
Norway	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Paraguay	ESPN 4
Peru	Disney+, ESPN 4
Portugal	DAZN 1, DAZN / App
Romania	Digi Sport 4, Prima Sport 2
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
Slovakia	Nova Sport 5, Voyo
Slovenia	SportKlub 3
Spain	DAZN LaLiga
Sweden	Disney+
Turkey	S Sport, S Sport+
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Sport
United-kingdom	Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN Deportes, ESPN+, SportsEngine Play
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN 4


	Racing Santander		Elche

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.7	3.9	Watch
	2.00	3.60	3.50
	1.95	3.6	3.7	Watch
	2.01	3.69	3.99
	2.22	3.6	3.14	Watch
	1.95	3.7	4
	1.94	3.68	4.09	Watch
	1.97	3.75	3.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↓ (2.2)	3.67 ↑ (3.54)	3.78 ↑ (3.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Racing Santander
48.3%

Draw
26.3%

Elche
25.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.5%

27.1%

29.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.1%

27.4%

29.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Racing Santander has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

Elche has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Racing Santander than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Racing Santander that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elche than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
82.9%	9.8%	7.3%

Racing Santander - Elche Predictions

Users Predictions: 41 users predict this event. Racing will win (votes: 34 - 82.9%). Elche will win (votes: 3 - 7.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 9.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Racing: 71.4% – 94.4%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.75 - over (1.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Racing (1.50) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Racing Santander will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Racing (votes: 5 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Agirrezabala J. (G) 2. Mantilla A. (C) 4. Manu Hernando 16. Gonzalez F. 17. Salinas J. 23. Martin I. 8. Puerta G. 11. Martin A. 20. Canales S. 10. Vicente I. 21. Zabiri Y.	1. Dituro M. (G) 2. Buba Sangare 22. Affengruber D. 23. Chust V. 6. Bigas P. (C) 11. Valera G. 10. Buonanotte F. 8. Aguado M. 12. Villar G. 29. Houary A. 14. Nino F.
Substitutes
9. Arana J. 34. Diaz D. 1. Eriksson S. (G) 14. Gueye M. 7. Guliashvili G. 36. Martinez S. 38. Perez H. 18. Prati M. 5. Ramon P. 6. Sainz-Maza I. 30. Sanchez C. 12. Villalibre A.	26. Barzic M. 21. Cepeda L. 19. Diangana G. 43. Iturbe A. (G) 17. Josan 47. Morcillo J. 16. Neto M. 24. Osorio A. 30. Padilla A. 9. Ponce E. 5. Redondo Solari F. 20. Tete Morente
Coaches
Lopez J.	Anselmi M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, Zabiri Y. ⚽,
21', 2 - 0, Zabiri Y. ⚽,
36', 3 - 0, Zabiri Y. ⚽, Vicente I. (A),
43', Gonzalez F. 🟨,
45', Mantilla A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Houary A. ↓, Ponce E. ↑,
46', Aguado M. ↓, Tete Morente ↑,
59', Martin A. ↓, Prati M. ↑,
62', Bigas P. ↓, Morcillo J. ↑,
63', Buonanotte F. 🟨,
69', Vicente I. ↓, Guliashvili G. ↑,
69', Zabiri Y. ↓, Villalibre A. ↑,
69', Buonanotte F. ↓, Cepeda L. ↑,
78', 3 - 1, Buba Sangare ⚽, Cepeda L. (A),
79', 3 - 2, Nino F. ⚽, Tete Morente (A),
84', Buba Sangare ↓, Josan ↑,
85', Canales S. ↓, Gueye M. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Racing won 2.

Recent form of Racing has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Elche has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Recently, Elche has had a series of home games.

Racing might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Racing: Pedro Felipe (Hamstring Injury)

There will not play in Elche: Boayar A. (Muscle Injury) Santiago Y. (Knee Injury)

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Racing won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:10. (average 0.9:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Racing won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:3. (average 1.5:0.8).

Outrights of Spanish LaLiga for now

Elche: 0.19% Racing Santander: 0.17%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
16	Racing Santander	7	2	1	4	11:21	-10	7
18	Elche	7	1	2	4	11:17	-6	5

Last Results with these Odds

Racing Santander - the odds 2.2 are the expected chance of winning is 43.49%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Elche - the odds 3.26 are the expected chance of winning is 29.4%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Racing Santander
Spanish LaLiga
23.08.26	Getafe - Racing Santander	1:0 ✺
16.08.26	Racing Santander - Villarreal	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
07.08.26	Racing Santander - Sporting de Gijón	4:1 ✺
01.08.26	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Racing Santander	3:0 ✺
29.07.26	Racing Santander - Athletic Bilbao	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LTWLL
- Elche CF
Spanish LaLiga
23.08.26	Elche - Barcelona	0:5 ✺
17.08.26	Deportivo A Coruña - Elche	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
31.07.26	Elche - Córdoba	2:2 ✺
28.07.26	Elche - Al Ain	2:2 ✺
24.07.26	Elche - Johor Darul Takzim	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LTTTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
02.03.25	Racing Santander - Elche	2:0
19.12.24	Elche - Racing Santander	3:0
04.05.24	Racing Santander - Elche	3:1
02.09.23	Elche - Racing Santander	1:1
04.07.20	Racing Santander - Elche	1:2
01.12.19	Elche - Racing Santander	2:0
31.03.13	Racing Santander - Elche	0:0

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