Match Info

LaLiga - Round 32

Date: 26 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere (Oviedo)

Referee: Sanchez J. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 4, DStv Now, New World Sport 3, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
Albania	SuperSport 3
Argentina	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Austria	DAZN
Bangladesh	Begin
Bolivia	Tigo Sports 1
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Canada	TSN+
Chile	DirecTV Sports
China	iQIYI
Croatia	Arena Sport 8, MAXtv To Go
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4, Oneplay
Denmark	TV2 Play
Ecuador	DirecTV Sports
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 3
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 5, beIN Sports MAX 6, Free
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	Nova Sports 1
Hong-kong	NOW Sports 2
Hungary	Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
India	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, SCTV, Vidio
Israel	ONE Sport
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	Arena Premium 2
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mexico	Izzi TV
Netherlands	Ziggo Go, Ziggo Sport 2
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Nigeria	SuperSport LaLiga
North-central-america	DirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium, Viaplay
Peru	DirecTV Sports
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Poland	CANAL+ Sport 4
Portugal	DAZN 1, DAZN / App, DAZN Portugal
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
Singapore	beIN Sport 1
Slovakia	Nova Sport 4
South-africa	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	DAZN Espana, DAZN LaLiga 2, DAZN LaLiga, LaLiga TV Bar
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 2
Switzerland	Blue Sport 6, Blue Sport 6
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Turkey	S Sport, S Sport+
United-kingdom	Premier Sports 2
Uruguay	DirecTV Sports, DSports 310
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1
Vietnam	ON Football, ON Plus, SCTV 15, SCTV Online, VTVcab


	Real Oviedo		Elche

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.4	3.2	Watch
	2.28	3.15	3.35
	2.35	3.3	3.47
	2.27	3.35	3.25	Watch
	2.2	3.25	3.25
	2.26	3.5	3.3	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↑ (2.25)	3.33 ↓ (3.54)	3.3 ↑ (3.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Oviedo
42.3%

Draw
28.8%

Elche
28.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.2%

26.8%

30.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.7%

26.5%

30.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Oviedo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Elche has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Oviedo than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elche than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	11.7%	8.3%

Real Oviedo - Elche Predictions

Users Predictions: 57 users predict this event. Oviedo will win (votes: 45 - 78.9%). Elche will win (votes: 5 - 8.8%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 12.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Oviedo: 68.3% – 89.5%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Oviedo (1.63) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Oviedo (1.64) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Real Oviedo will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Oviedo (votes: 7 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Escandell A. (G) 22. Vidal N. 4. Costas D. (C) 16. Carmo D. 3. Alhassane R. 6. Sibo K. 23. Fonseca N. 10. Hassan H. 5. Reina A. 7. Chaira I. 9. Vinas F.	1. Dituro M. (G) 39. Fort H. 42. Buba Sangare 22. Affengruber D. 6. Bigas P. (C) 3. Pedrosa A. 12. Villar G. 8. Aguado M. 14. Febas A. 9. Andre Silva 20. Rodriguez A.
Substitutes
27. Agudin P. 24. Ahijado L. 2. Bailly E. 17. Borbas T. 12. Calvo D. 8. Cazorla S. 11. Colombatto S. 14. Ejaria O. 15. Fernandez T. 25. Lopez J. 1. Moldovan H. (G)	24. Cepeda L. 23. Chust V. 19. Diangana G. 18. Donald J. 17. Josan 10. Mir R. 16. Neto M. 13. Pena I. (G) 21. Petrot L. 5. Redondo Solari F. 15. Tete Morente 11. Valera G.
Coaches
Almada G.	Sarabia E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
6', 0 - 1, Bigas P. ⚽, Aguado M. (A),
16', 0 - 2, Villar G. ⚽, Rodriguez A. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Sibo K. ↓, Fernandez T. ↑,
58', Alhassane R. ↓, Cazorla S. ↑,
59', Hassan H. ↓, Borbas T. ↑,
62', Fort H. ↓, Tete Morente ↑,
63', Fonseca N. 🟨,
65', Carmo D. ↓, Lopez J. ↑,
69', Aguado M. ↓, Donald J. ↑,
69', Andre Silva ↓, Valera G. ↑,
75', Fernandez T. 🟨,
76', Fonseca N. ↓, Colombatto S. ↑,
76', 1 - 2, Chaira I. ⚽, Escandell A. (A),
82', Pedrosa A. ↓, Petrot L. ↑,
82', Buba Sangare ↓, Chust V. ↑,
90+5', Valera G. 🟥,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ LaLiga2 and 17).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Oviedo won 2.

Now, both teams are in good form.

Elche may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Oviedo: Dendoncker L. (Injury) Fores A. (Injury) Ilic L. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

There will not play in Elche: Boayar A. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Oviedo won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 18:16. (average 1.4:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Oviedo won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:7. (average 1.7:1.2).

Outrights of Spanish LaLiga for now

Elche: 0.2%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
18	Elche	7	1	2	4	11:17	-6	5

Last Results with these Odds

Elche - the odds 3.07 are the expected chance of winning is 30.94%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Oviedo
Spanish LaLiga
23.04.26	Real Oviedo - Villarreal	1:1 ✺
12.04.26	Celta de Vigo - Real Oviedo	0:3 ✺
05.04.26	Real Oviedo - Sevilla	1:0 ✺
21.03.26	Levante - Real Oviedo	4:2 ✺
14.03.26	Real Oviedo - Valencia	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.4 TWWLW
- Elche CF
Spanish LaLiga
22.04.26	Elche - Atlético Madrid	3:2 ✺
11.04.26	Elche - Valencia	1:0 ✺
03.04.26	Rayo Vallecano - Elche	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
27.03.26	Aston Villa - Elche	1:2 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
21.03.26	Elche - Mallorca	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.5 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
21.09.25	Elche - Real Oviedo	1:0
Spanish LaLiga2
14.03.25	Real Oviedo - Elche	1:1
24.11.24	Elche - Real Oviedo	4:0
05.04.24	Elche - Real Oviedo	0:2
15.12.23	Real Oviedo - Elche	3:2
20.07.20	Elche - Real Oviedo	2:1
15.09.19	Real Oviedo - Elche	0:2

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