Match Info

SPAIN: LaLiga2 - Round 5

Date: 15 September 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero (Elche)

Referee: De La Fuente Ramos O. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bolivia	Tigo Sports 1
Israel	ONE Sport 2
Paraguay	Tigo Sports
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion, LaLiga TV Bar 2, Movistar Plus+ 1
Venezuela	Inter
World	DirecTV Sports


	Elche		Granada

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.3	3.3	Watch
	2.2	3.1	3.1
	2.2	3.25	3.3	Watch
	2.27	3.24	3.51
	2.23	3.24	3.43	Watch
	2.05	3.4	3.4
	2.2	3.34	3.36	Watch
	2.2	3.25	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↑ (2.09)	3.27 ↓ (3.29)	3.34 ↓ (3.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elche
42.9%

Draw
28.8%

Granada
28.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.7%

28.4%

26.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.2%

28.1%

26.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elche has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Granada has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elche than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Granada than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	10%	10%

Elche - Granada Predictions

Users Predictions: Elche will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Dituro M. (G) 4. Diaby B. 22. Affengruber D. 6. Bigas P. 17. Josan 21. Castro N. 31. Hernandez G. 10. Mercau N. 12. Salinas J. 18. Kaba S. 9. Alvarez A.	13. Martinez M. (G) 4. Rubio M. 14. Miquel I. 24. Williams L. 12. Sanchez R. 20. Ruiz S. 23. Trigueros M. 15. Neva C. 11. Tsitaishvili G. 9. Weissman S. 19. Reinier
Substitutes
16. Alex Martin 26. Barzic M. 19. El Ghezouani M. 35. Houary A. 2. Mario Gaspar 30. Mendoza R. 15. Nunez A. 36. Nunez R. 11. Rashani E. 20. Salvador C. 1. San Roman M. (G)	30. Balde S. 3. Brau M. 17. Corbeanu T. 5. Insua P. 18. Jozwiak K. 16. Lama M. 25. Marino D. (G) 28. Naasei Oppong O. 22. Saenz P. 2. Sanchez R. 10. Uzuni M. 8. Villar G.
Coaches
Sarabia E.	Abascal G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
5', Miquel I. 🟨,
28', 1 - 0, Mercau N. (Pen),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Weissman S. ↓, Uzuni M. ↑,
46', Sanchez R. 🟨,
54', Trigueros M. ↓, Villar G. ↑,
55', 1 - 1, Uzuni M. ⚽, Miquel I. (A),
58', 1 - 2, Williams L. ⚽, Tsitaishvili G. (A),
60', Kaba S. ↓, El Ghezouani M. ↑,
60', Hernandez G. ↓, Salvador C. ↑,
65', 2 - 2, El Ghezouani M. ⚽,
74', Josan 🟨,
75', Mercau N. ↓, Mendoza R. ↑,
75', Diaby B. ↓, Mario Gaspar ↑,
75', Bigas P. ↓, Barzic M. ↑,
78', Martinez M. 🟨,
79', Tsitaishvili G. ↓, Jozwiak K. ↑,
79', Reinier ↓, Balde S. ↑,
85', Villar G. 🟨,
90+2', Sanchez R. ↓,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Elche won 1.

Elche is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Granada is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Elche could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Granada have a series of home games.

Elche will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Elche won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 6-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Elche won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Elche CF
Spanish LaLiga2
08.09.24	Zaragoza - Elche	3:0 ✺
02.09.24	Elche - Córdoba	3:1 ✺
25.08.24	Albacete Balompié - Elche	1:0 ✺
18.08.24	Elche - Huesca	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
10.08.24	Elche - Levante	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LWLLL
- Granada CF
Spanish LaLiga2
07.09.24	Granada - Deportivo A Coruña	1:1 ✺
30.08.24	Granada - Huesca	1:3 ✺
24.08.24	Ferrol - Granada	0:1 ✺
15.08.24	Granada - Albacete Balompié	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
08.08.24	Granada - Al-Wahda Mecca	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 TLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
12.03.22	Granada - Elche	0:1
02.01.22	Elche - Granada	0:0
28.02.21	Granada - Elche	2:1
13.12.20	Elche - Granada	0:1
Spanish LaLiga2
21.01.19	Granada - Elche	2:1
Spanish Copa del Rey
13.09.18	Elche - Granada	2:1
Spanish LaLiga2
18.08.18	Elche - Granada	0:0

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