Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 5 - Round 12

Date: 23 November 2025, Sunday


	Rayo Vallecano B		Elche Ilicitano

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.1	2.55
	2.58	3	2.52
	2.37	3.20	2.84	Watch
	2.57	3.26	2.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.49 ↑ (2.32)	3.14 ↑ (3.09)	2.65 ↓ (2.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rayo Vallecano B
36.6%

Draw
29%

Elche Ilicitano
34.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.9%

29.2%

31.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.2%

29%

31.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rayo Vallecano B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Elche Ilicitano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rayo Vallecano B than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elche Ilicitano than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Rayo Vallecano B - Elche Ilicitano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
43', 0 - 1, Choco ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
69', 0 - 2, Piri ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Recent performances by Rayo Vallecano B have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Ilicitano's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Ilicitano may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rayo Vallecano B
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
15.11.25	Orihuela - Rayo Vallecano B	2:0 ✺
12.11.25	Rayo Vallecano B - Alcalá	3:1 ✺
09.11.25	Rayo Vallecano B - Quintanar del Rey	4:1 ✺
02.11.25	Getafe B - Rayo Vallecano B	3:0 ✺
26.10.25	Rayo Vallecano B - Conquense	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LWWLT
- Elche CF Ilicitano
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
16.11.25	Elche Ilicitano - Alcalá	3:3 ✺
08.11.25	Colonia Moscardó - Elche Ilicitano	3:2 ✺
02.11.25	Elche Ilicitano - Orihuela	2:5 ✺
25.10.25	Rayo Majadahonda - Elche Ilicitano	4:2 ✺
19.10.25	Quintanar del Rey - Elche Ilicitano	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 TLLLT

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