Match Info

SPAIN: Copa del Rey - 1/64-finals

Date: 30 October 2024, Wednesday

Location: Campo Municipal de El Paso (El Paso)


	Atlético Paso		Eldense

	1	X	2
	7	3.5	1.6
	6	3.9	1.6
	6	3.6	1.57	Watch
	6.77	3.55	1.59
	6.13	3.33	1.66	Watch
	5.8	3.6	1.53	Watch
	6	3.68	1.63
	6	3.6	1.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.21 ↓ (7.44)	3.6 ↓ (3.89)	1.59 ↑ (1.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Paso
15.1%

Draw
26.1%

Eldense
58.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

12.4%

23.8%

63.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.9%

14.8%

39.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Paso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Eldense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Paso than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Eldense than the current prediction. (-19%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Eldense, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	0%	83.3%

Atlético Paso - Eldense Predictions

Users Predictions: Eldense will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Cebollada R. (G) 2. Barreda C. 5. Ojog D. 18. Escudero Mogio A. 17. Placeres A. 8. Rodriguez Luis G. 6. Jou T. 4. Moreno R. 10. Menudo 9. Altube Suarez A. 7. Ortega A. (C)	1. Martin D. (G) 17. Garcia V. 14. Monsalve N. 22. Grigore R. 19. Jorquera Romero J. 21. Bernal A. (C) 16. Youness 18. Ropero U. 12. Geraldes F. 29. Godoy A. 27. Ogbuehi S.
Substitutes
23. Etxaburu A. 12. Ivan 20. Jesus 27. Musa 13. Perales J. (G) 26. Sina 28. Varela F.	20. Chapela I. 15. Gamez F. 13. Mackay I. (G) 23. Mateu M. 11. Ortuno J. 8. Ortuno S. 9. Quintana Nacho 24. Timor D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
30', Godoy A. ↓, Ortuno J. ↑,
43', 0 - 1, Ortuno S. (Pen),
45+2', Escudero Mogio A. 🟨,
45+2', Geraldes F. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Geraldes F. ↓, Chapela I. ↑,
71', Barreda C. ↓, Dambelleh M. ↑,
71', Ojog D. 🟨,
75', Monsalve N. 🟨,
78', Ropero U. ↓, Quintana Nacho ↑,
78', Bernal A. ↓, Timor D. ↑,
81', Placeres A. 🟨,
85', Rodriguez Luis G. ↓, Etxaburu A. ↑,
90', Placeres A. ↓, Perez I. ↑,

Preview

Both teams have a series of defeats in the last matches.

Eldense could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Eldense is absolute favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Paso
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
27.10.24	Conquense - Atlético Paso	3:0 ✺
20.10.24	Atlético Paso - Rayo Majadahonda	2:3 ✺
13.10.24	Unión Sur Yaiza - Atlético Paso	1:0 ✺
06.10.24	Atlético Paso - Real Madrid C	0:0 ✺
29.09.24	Unión Adarve - Atlético Paso	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLLTL
- CD Eldense
Spanish LaLiga2
26.10.24	Córdoba - Eldense	2:0 ✺
23.10.24	Eldense - Zaragoza	2:3 ✺
19.10.24	Deportivo A Coruña - Eldense	1:1 ✺
12.10.24	Eibar - Eldense	1:0 ✺
06.10.24	Eldense - Castellón	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LLTLL

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