Match Info

SPAIN: LaLiga2 - Round 8

Date: 6 October 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio Nuevo Pepico Amat (Elda)

Referee: Gonzalez Esteban J. A. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DGO
Bolivia	Tigo Sports 1
Mexico	Sky Sport
Paraguay	Tigo Sports
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion, LaLiga TV Bar 2, Movistar Plus+ 1
Venezuela	Inter
World	DirecTV Sports


	Eldense		Castellón

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.2	2.8	Watch
	2.45	3.25	2.65
	2.5	3.3	2.7	Watch
	2.62	3.4	2.8
	2.58	3.32	2.77	Watch
	2.59	3.28	2.75	Watch
	2.5	3.3	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.54 ↑ (2.53)	3.29 ↓ (3.31)	2.74 ↓ (2.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Eldense
37%

Draw
28.6%

Castellón
34.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.5%

28.7%

33.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.1%

29.9%

32.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Eldense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Castellón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eldense than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castellón than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30%	50%	20%

Eldense - Castellón Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Eldense will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Castellón will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 55.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Martin D. (G) 15. Gamez F. 4. Dumic D. 5. Pina 23. Mateu M. 17. Garcia V. 8. Ortuno S. (C) 24. Timor D. 7. Bouzaidi S. 9. Quintana Nacho 21. Bernal A.	1. Crettaz G. (G) 14. Gil O. (C) 5. Jimenez A. 33. Vertrouwd J. 15. Willems J. 4. Suero I. 6. van den Belt T. 10. Sanchez R. 21. Calatrava A. 9. de Miguel J. 8. Mamah K.
Substitutes
6. Camarasa V. 20. Chapela I. 12. Geraldes F. 29. Godoy A. 19. Jorquera Romero J. 13. Mackay I. (G) 3. Martos I. 14. Monsalve N. 10. Montes C. 27. Ogbuehi S. 11. Ortuno J. 16. Youness	27. Albert J. 11. Aurelio D. 12. Bosilj D. 23. Calavera J. 22. Chirino D. 16. Cipenga B. 7. Moyita S. 17. Ruiz S. 30. Schwake B. (G) 20. Seuntjens M. 46. Suner P. M. 19. Villahermosa D.
Coaches
Ponz D.	Schreuder D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 3)
13', 0 - 1, Mamah K. ⚽, Calatrava A. (A),
18', 1 - 1, Ortuno S. ⚽, Quintana Nacho (A),
25', 2 - 1, Dumic D. ⚽, Timor D. (A),
38', 2 - 2, Mamah K. ⚽,
42', 2 - 3, de Miguel J. ⚽, Calatrava A. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
49', Gamez F. 🟨,
56', Calatrava A. ↓, Ruiz S. ↑,
57', de Miguel J. ↓, Aurelio D. ↑,
57', Bouzaidi S. ↓, Ortuno J. ↑,
57', Timor D. ↓, Camarasa V. ↑,
57', Gamez F. ↓, Chapela I. ↑,
66', Gil O. ↓, Calavera J. ↑,
67', Willems J. ↓, Chirino D. ↑,
75', Quintana Nacho ↓, Geraldes F. ↑,
86', Mamah K. ↓, Bosilj D. ↑,
90+5', Pina 🟨,
90+7', Sanchez R. 🟨,

Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 and 11).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Castellón could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

There will not play in Castellón: Camara O. (Injury)

Last 4 head-to-head matches Eldense won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3:6 (average 0.8:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Eldense won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:2 (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Eldense
Spanish LaLiga2
28.09.24	Cádiz - Eldense	1:2 ✺
21.09.24	Eldense - Real Oviedo	1:1 ✺
14.09.24	Levante - Eldense	3:1 ✺
08.09.24	Eldense - Almería	1:0 ✺
01.09.24	Eldense - Cartagena	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 WTLWL
- CD Castellón
Spanish LaLiga2
29.09.24	Castellón - Tenerife	2:1 ✺
22.09.24	Castellón - Racing Santander	0:1 ✺
16.09.24	Almería - Castellón	2:5 ✺
09.09.24	Castellón - Cádiz	1:3 ✺
01.09.24	Burgos - Castellón	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
12.02.23	Castellón - Eldense	2:0
30.10.22	Eldense - Castellón	1:1
Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
28.02.18	Castellón - Eldense	2:1
11.10.17	Eldense - Castellón	1:1

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