Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 40

Date: 15 May 2026, Friday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Castalia (Castellón de la Plana)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV Sports, DSports 6
Australia	beIN Connect
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 2
Chile	DirecTV Sports
Croatia	Arena Sport 7
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3, Oneplay
Ecuador	DirecTV Sports, DSports 6
Greece	Nova Sports Start
India	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	beIN Connect, Vidio
Malaysia	beIN Sports 3, Sooka
Mexico	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	DirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
Peru	DirecTV Sports
Philippines	beIN Sports 3
Portugal	DAZN / App
Romania	Digi Sport 4, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 4
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Premium 5
Singapore	beIN Sports 3
Slovakia	Nova Sport 3, Voyo
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion
Sweden	TV4 Sportkanalen
Thailand	beIN Sports 3
Turkey	S Sport, S Sport+
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Sport
United-kingdom	Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	DirecTV Sports, DSports 6
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	DirecTV Sports, Inter


	Castellón		Cádiz

	1	X	2
	1.25	6.25	8.5	Watch
	1.29	5.7	8	Watch
	1.3	5.97	9.63
	1.31	5.55	8.67	Watch
	1.29	5.5	9
	1.29	6.12	9.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.29 ↓ (1.38)	5.85 ↑ (4.99)	8.95 ↑ (7.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Castellón
73.3%

Draw
16.1%

Cádiz
10.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.4%

18.9%

12.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.4%

17.9%

11.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Castellón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Cádiz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castellón than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cádiz than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84.6%	15.4%	0%

Castellón - Cádiz Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Castellón (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +2 - Cádiz (1.63) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Castellón will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Castellón (votes: 1 - 50%). Cádiz (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Matthys R. (G) 22. Mellot J. 3. Brignani F. 5. Jimenez A. (C) 12. Alcazar L. 16. Cipenga B. 15. Gerenabarrena B. 8. Barri 19. Jakobsen A. 21. Calatrava A. 9. Camara O.	1. Gil D. (C) 34. Diaz Peregrina J. 27. Fernandez P. 6. Recio I. 38. Arribas S. 19. de la Rosa J. 3. Kouame R. 15. Ortuno S. 16. Cordero A. 7. Perez L. 18. Diarra Y.
Substitutes
1. Abedzadeh A. (G) 11. Aurelio D. 6. Doue M. 23. Garcia A. 7. Mabil A. 25. Ronaldo 17. Ruiz S. 14. Sanchez R. 18. Santiago P. 4. Sienra A. 10. Suero I. 2. Tincho	30. Blanco R. (G) 29. Caicedo A. 17. Camara D. 21. Climent M. 5. Diakite M. 37. Domina J. 8. Fernandez A. 14. Kovacevic B. 2. Moreno J. 10. Ocampo B. 23. Pascual A. 26. Perez Morillo F. (G)
Coaches
Hernandez P.	Idiakez I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
7', Camara O. 🟨,
21', Kouame R. 🟨,
37', Recio I. ↓, Kovacevic B. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
47', Perez L. 🟨,
54', 1 - 0, Cipenga B. ⚽, Camara O. (A),
57', Jakobsen A. ↓, Mabil A. ↑,
64', Alcazar L. ↓, Tincho ↑,
69', de la Rosa J. ↓, Ocampo B. ↑,
69', Ortuno S. ↓, Pascual A. ↑,
69', Perez L. ↓, Camara D. ↑,
70', Barri 🟨,
73', Arribas S. ↓, Climent M. ↑,
74', 1 - 1, Fernandez P. ⚽,
74', Camara O. ↓, Garcia A. ↑,
76', Mellot J. 🟨,
80', Barri ↓, Suero I. ↑,
80', Cipenga B. ↓, Doue M. ↑,
81', Mellot J. ↓, Aurelio D. ↑,
87', Diarra Y. ↓, Fernandez A. ↑,
88', Ocampo B. 🟨,
88', Gil D. 🟨,
90+7', Pascual A. 🟨,
90+9', Camara D. 🟨,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 18).

In recent matches, Castellón has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Cádiz is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Castellón is the undisputed favorite.

There will not play in Cádiz: Carcelen I. (Knee Injury) Ontiveros J. (Heel Injury) Tabatadze I. (Knee Injury)

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Castellón won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:5. (average 0.3:1.7).

Including home match between the teams, Castellón won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Castellon	8	6	2	0	15:3	12	20
19	Cadiz CF	8	1	4	3	11:10	1	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Castellón
Spanish LaLiga2
09.05.26	Ceuta - Castellón	1:1 ✺
02.05.26	Castellón - Córdoba	1:2 ✺
25.04.26	Málaga - Castellón	2:3 ✺
18.04.26	Castellón - Burgos	3:1 ✺
12.04.26	Mirandés - Castellón	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 TLWWT
- Cádiz CF
Spanish LaLiga2
08.05.26	Cádiz - Deportivo A Coruña	0:1 ✺
02.05.26	Leonesa - Cádiz	2:2 ✺
27.04.26	Cádiz - Las Palmas	1:2 ✺
19.04.26	Sporting de Gijón - Cádiz	3:0 ✺
12.04.26	Cádiz - FC Andorra	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
21.12.25	Cádiz - Castellón	2:0
23.02.25	Cádiz - Castellón	0:0
09.09.24	Castellón - Cádiz	1:3

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