Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 40

Date: 15 May 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Municipal de Castalia (Castellón de la Plana) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	15:30	DirecTV Sports, DSports 6
Australia	04:30	beIN Connect
Bosnia And Herzegovina	20:30	Arena Sport 2
Chile	14:30	DirecTV Sports
Croatia	20:30	Arena Sport 7
Cyprus	21:30	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8
Czech Republic	20:30	Nova Sport 3, Oneplay
Ecuador	13:30	DirecTV Sports, DSports 6
Greece	21:30	Nova Sports Start
India	00:00	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	01:30	beIN Connect, Vidio
Malaysia	02:30	beIN Sports 3, Sooka
Mexico	12:30	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
New Zealand	06:30	beIN Connect
North Central America	—	DirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
Peru	13:30	DirecTV Sports
Philippines	02:30	beIN Sports 3
Portugal	19:30	DAZN / App
Romania	21:30	Digi Sport 4, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 4
Russia	21:30	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	20:30	Arena Premium 5
Singapore	02:30	beIN Sports 3
Slovakia	20:30	Nova Sport 3, Voyo
South America	—	DGO Latin America
Spain	20:30	DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion
Sweden	20:30	TV4 Sportkanalen
Thailand	01:30	beIN Sports 3
Turkey	21:30	S Sport, S Sport+
Ukraine	21:30	MEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Sport
United Kingdom	19:30	Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	15:30	DirecTV Sports, DSports 6
Usa	14:30	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	14:30	DirecTV Sports, Inter


	Castellón		Cádiz

	1	X	2
	1.25	6.25	8.5	Watch
	1.29	5.7	8	Watch
	1.3	5.97	9.63
	1.31	5.55	8.67	Watch
	1.29	5.5	9
	1.29	6.12	9.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.29 ↓ (1.38)	5.85 ↑ (4.99)	8.95 ↑ (7.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Castellón
73.3%

Draw
16.1%

Cádiz
10.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

68.4%

18.9%

12.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.4%

16.6%

11%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Castellón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Cádiz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castellón than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cádiz than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84.6%	15.4%	0%

Castellón - Cádiz Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Castellón (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +2 - Cádiz (1.63) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Castellón will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Castellón (votes: 1 - 50%). Cádiz (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Matthys R. (G) 22. Mellot J. 3. Brignani F. 5. Jimenez A. (C) 12. Alcazar L. 16. Cipenga B. 15. Gerenabarrena B. 8. Barri 19. Jakobsen A. 21. Calatrava A. 9. Camara O.	1. Gil D. (C) 34. Diaz Peregrina J. 27. Fernandez P. 6. Recio I. 38. Arribas S. 19. de la Rosa J. 3. Kouame R. 15. Ortuno S. 16. Cordero A. 7. Perez L. 18. Diarra Y.
Substitutes
1. Abedzadeh A. (G) 11. Aurelio D. 6. Doue M. 23. Garcia A. 7. Mabil A. 25. Ronaldo 17. Ruiz S. 14. Sanchez R. 18. Santiago P. 4. Sienra A. 10. Suero I. 2. Tincho	30. Blanco R. (G) 29. Caicedo A. 17. Camara D. 21. Climent M. 5. Diakite M. 37. Domina J. 8. Fernandez A. 14. Kovacevic B. 2. Moreno J. 10. Ocampo B. 23. Pascual A. 26. Perez Morillo F. (G)
Coaches
Hernandez P.	Idiakez I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
7', Camara O. 🟨,
21', Kouame R. 🟨,
37', Recio I. ↓, Kovacevic B. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
47', Perez L. 🟨,
54', 1 - 0, Cipenga B. ⚽, Camara O. (A),
57', Jakobsen A. ↓, Mabil A. ↑,
64', Alcazar L. ↓, Tincho ↑,
69', de la Rosa J. ↓, Ocampo B. ↑,
69', Ortuno S. ↓, Pascual A. ↑,
69', Perez L. ↓, Camara D. ↑,
70', Barri 🟨,
73', Arribas S. ↓, Climent M. ↑,
74', 1 - 1, Fernandez P. ⚽,
74', Camara O. ↓, Garcia A. ↑,
76', Mellot J. 🟨,
80', Barri ↓, Suero I. ↑,
80', Cipenga B. ↓, Doue M. ↑,
81', Mellot J. ↓, Aurelio D. ↑,
87', Diarra Y. ↓, Fernandez A. ↑,
88', Ocampo B. 🟨,
88', Gil D. 🟨,
90+7', Pascual A. 🟨,
90+9', Camara D. 🟨,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 18).

In recent matches, Castellón has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Cádiz is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Castellón is the undisputed favorite.

There will not play in Cádiz: Carcelen I. (Knee Injury) Ontiveros J. (Heel Injury) Tabatadze I. (Knee Injury)

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Castellón won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:5. (average 0.3:1.7).

Including home match between the teams, Castellón won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Castellon	11	8	2	1	22:4	18	26
19	Cadiz CF	11	2	4	5	14:14	0	10

Outrights of Spanish LaLiga2 for now

Castellon: 16.74%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Castellón
Spanish LaLiga2
09.05.26	Ceuta - Castellón	1:1 ✺
02.05.26	Castellón - Córdoba	1:2 ✺
25.04.26	Málaga - Castellón	2:3 ✺
18.04.26	Castellón - Burgos	3:1 ✺
12.04.26	Mirandés - Castellón	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 TLWWT
- Cádiz CF
Spanish LaLiga2
08.05.26	Cádiz - Deportivo A Coruña	0:1 ✺
02.05.26	Leonesa - Cádiz	2:2 ✺
27.04.26	Cádiz - Las Palmas	1:2 ✺
19.04.26	Sporting de Gijón - Cádiz	3:0 ✺
12.04.26	Cádiz - FC Andorra	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
21.12.25	Cádiz - Castellón	2:0
23.02.25	Cádiz - Castellón	0:0
09.09.24	Castellón - Cádiz	1:3

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