Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 26

Date: 14 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Nuevo Los Cármenes (Granada)

Referee: Bestard Servera L. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DAZN, Disney+
Bolivia	DAZN
Brazil	Disney+
Ecuador	DAZN
Mexico	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
Paraguay	DAZN
Peru	Disney+
Spain	DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion, Movistar Plus+
Uruguay	DAZN, Disney+
Venezuela	DAZN, Disney+


	Granada		Valladolid

	1	X	2
	2.01	3.1	4.2	Watch
	2.08	3.05	3.65	Watch
	2.13	3.15	4.05
	2.09	3.19	3.84	Watch
	2.05	2.9	3.8
	2.1	3.09	3.98	Watch
	2.08	3.1	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↓ (2.31)	3.08 ↓ (3.16)	3.9 ↑ (3.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Granada
45.3%

Draw
30.5%

Valladolid
24.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.4%

29.6%

30.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.8%

28.6%

29.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Granada has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Valladolid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Valladolid might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Granada than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valladolid than the current prediction. (+5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
61.1%	22.2%	16.7%

Granada - Valladolid Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Granada will win (votes: 11 - 64.7%). Valladolid will win (votes: 2 - 11.8%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 23.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Granada: 42% – 87.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Granada (votes: 2 - 50%). Valladolid (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Zidane L. (G) 28. Naasei O. 5. Lama M. 24. Williams L. 22. Diallo B. 8. Aleman P. 4. Alcaraz R. 41. Gonzalez I. 7. Sola A. 9. Petit G. 11. Arnaiz J. M.	13. Guilherme Fernandes (G) 2. Michelin C. 5. Martinez R. 4. Torres D. 18. Clerc C. 24. Juric S. 8. Meseguer Cavas V. A. 19. Sanseviero L. 20. Chuki 22. Peter Federico 9. Latasa J.
Substitutes
13. Astralaga A. (G) 10. Bouldini M. 2. Casadesus P. 17. Diaby B. 40. Diocou B. 23. Gagnidze L. 3. Hormigo D. 18. Lemos A. 19. Pascual J. 26. Rodelas S. 21. Saenz P. 14. Trigueros M.	1. Aceves A. (G) 12. Alani I. 17. Biuk S. 7. Canos S. 25. Erlien V. 27. Garriel I. 23. Jaouab M. 10. Marcos Andre 16. Maroto M. 30. Modesto H. 21. Ponceau J. 15. Tomeo P.
Coaches
Rojo Martin J.	Tevenet L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (4 - 1)
3', 1 - 0, Gonzalez I. ⚽,
10', 2 - 0, Alcaraz R. ⚽, Aleman P. (A),
13', Michelin C. 🟨,
29', 3 - 0, Petit G. ⚽, Sola A. (A),
33', Michelin C. 🟨,
40', 4 - 0, Lama M. ⚽, Arnaiz J. M. (A),
45+1', 4 - 1, Peter Federico ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
53', 5 - 1, Sanseviero L. (Own goal),
54', Clerc C. ↓, Garriel I. ↑,
54', Meseguer Cavas V. A. ↓, Ponceau J. ↑,
60', Petit G. ↓, Pascual J. ↑,
60', Naasei O. ↓, Casadesus P. ↑,
65', Peter Federico ↓, Marcos Andre ↑,
65', Sanseviero L. ↓, Canos S. ↑,
68', Martinez R. 🟨,
68', Sola A. 🟨,
76', Alcaraz R. ↓, Trigueros M. ↑,
76', Arnaiz J. M. ↓, Rodelas S. ↑,
84', Lama M. ↓, Diaby B. ↑,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 15 and 18).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Granada won 2.

Granada has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Valladolid's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Valladolid may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Granada might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Granada: Ruiz S. (Red Card)

There will not play in Valladolid: Bueno G. (Injury) Lachuer M. (Injury) Ndiaye A. (Leg Injury) Ohio N. (Hamstring Injury)

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Granada won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 17:16. (average 1.3:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Granada won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:9. (average 1.6:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Granada CF	8	3	2	3	13:13	0	11
17	Valladolid	8	2	3	3	8:11	-3	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Granada CF
Spanish LaLiga2
06.02.26	Leganés - Granada	1:0 ✺
01.02.26	Granada - Racing Santander	1:0 ✺
24.01.26	Cádiz - Granada	1:2 ✺
19.01.26	Granada - Eibar	0:0 ✺
11.01.26	Granada - Castellón	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 LWWTT
- Real Valladolid
Spanish LaLiga2
08.02.26	Valladolid - Castellón	0:4 ✺
31.01.26	Córdoba - Valladolid	3:1 ✺
24.01.26	Valladolid - Albacete Balompié	0:1 ✺
17.01.26	Ceuta - Valladolid	0:3 ✺
11.01.26	Leganés - Valladolid	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
03.11.25	Valladolid - Granada	2:1
Spanish LaLiga
11.04.21	Valladolid - Granada	1:2
22.11.20	Granada - Valladolid	1:3
Club Friendly
28.08.20	Granada - Valladolid	0:3
Spanish LaLiga
15.02.20	Granada - Valladolid	2:1
24.09.19	Valladolid - Granada	1:1
Club Friendly
02.08.19	Granada - Valladolid	2:1

Upcoming Matches