Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 11

Date: 23 October 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Nuevo Los Cármenes (Granada) 🌤️ ...

Referee: De Aza M. H. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Asia	—	beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1
Austria	20:30	DAZN
Germany	20:30	DAZN Deutsch
Indonesia	01:30	beIN SPORTS MAX
Japan	03:30	DAZN Japan
Laos	01:30	beIN Connect
Malaysia	02:30	beIN SPORTS MAX
Mexico	12:30	Izzi TV
North Central America	—	Sky Sports Norte
Philippines	02:30	beIN SPORTS MAX
Portugal	19:30	DAZN 4, DAZN / App
Russia	21:30	MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Singapore	02:30	beIN SPORTS MAX
Spain	20:30	DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion
Switzerland	20:30	DAZN Switzerland
Thailand	01:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
Ukraine	21:30	MEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Ukraine


	Granada		Valladolid

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.2	3.6	Watch
	2.15	3.10	3.10
	2.15	3.15	3.2	Watch
	2.22	3.34	3.62
	2.2	3.26	3.43	Watch
	2.13	3.25	3.5
	2.18	3.41	3.46	Watch
	2.13	3.25	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↑ (2.09)	3.25 ↓ (3.29)	3.41 ↓ (3.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Granada
43.6%

Draw
28.9%

Valladolid
27.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

44.6%

28.3%

27.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.7%

28.3%

27%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Granada has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Valladolid has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Granada than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valladolid than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
44.4%	44.4%	11.1%

Granada - Valladolid Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Granada will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Valladolid will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Granada: 11.9% – 76.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2 - over (1.51) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Flores A. (G) 18. Lopez S. 30. Juanjo 5. Lama M. 22. Diallo B. 6. Gumbau G. 4. Alcaraz R. (C) 27. Jimenez Gambin M. 7. Rodelas S. 10. Pascual J. 11. Arnaiz J. M.	1. Aceves A. (G) 14. Alejo I. (C) 15. Tomeo P. 4. Torres D. 27. Garriel I. 24. Juric S. 8. Ojeda T. 23. Abed T. 21. Ponceau J. 17. Barbera V. 19. Arnuncio A.
Substitutes
17. Bamba K. 2. Casadesus P. 36. Chukwuemeka O. M. 35. Dembele B. 33. Garcia A. 23. Gimber B. 3. Hormigo D. 13. Lizoain R. (G) 34. Maza M. 19. Onouha C. 32. Rodriguez D. 16. Varela Pampin D.	3. Al Amin H. 16. Balboa A. 11. Cabanzon Y. 18. Clerc C. 22. de Rooij K. 6. Lachuer M. 26. Lavagnino L. (G) 13. Martin D. (G) 5. Martinez R. 33. Tommy Fernandez 2. Trilli 20. van Duiven R.
Coaches
Rojo Martin J.	Escriba F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
14', 1 - 0, Rodelas S. ⚽, Arnaiz J. M. (A),
20', Ojeda T. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
50', Ponceau J. 🟨,
52', Arnaiz J. M. ↓, Chukwuemeka O. M. ↑,
57', 1 - 1, Garriel I. ⚽, Ponceau J. (A),
61', Juanjo 🟨,
65', Diallo B. ↓, Varela Pampin D. ↑,
65', Lopez S. ↓, Casadesus P. ↑,
65', Jimenez Gambin M. ↓, Onouha C. ↑,
67', 2 - 1, Pascual J. ⚽, Gumbau G. (A),
70', Ojeda T. ↓, de Rooij K. ↑,
70', Barbera V. ↓, van Duiven R. ↑,
70', Abed T. ↓, Cabanzon Y. ↑,
73', Alejo I. 🟨,
77', Rodelas S. ↓, Bamba K. ↑,
81', Ponceau J. ↓, Lachuer M. ↑,
86', Lachuer M. 🟨,
87', Arnuncio A. ↓, Tommy Fernandez ↑,
90+7', Torres D. 🟥,

Preview

This match features a clash between a top-table contender and a mid-table team (ranked 7th and 13th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Granada won 2.

Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Granada holding a narrow advantage.

Confirmed absences for Granada: Aleman P. (Muscle Injury) Marques A. (Injury).

Confirmed absences for Valladolid: Bueno G. (Knee Injury) Chacon L. (Knock) Fernandez V. (Red Card) Ito R. (Injury) Latasa J. (Injury) Perez Guerrero D. (Injury) Rubio M. (Injury).

In the last 14 head-to-head meetings, Granada has recorded 7 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 22:17 (averaging 1.6:1.2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Granada against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with 16:10 goals (averaging 2:1.3 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Granada CF	11	6	2	3	18:14	4	20
15	Valladolid	11	3	3	5	16:16	0	12

Outrights of Spanish LaLiga2 for now

Granada CF: 4.48% Valladolid: 1.43%

Last Results with these Odds

Valladolid - the odds 3.43 are the expected chance of winning is 27.15%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Granada CF
Spanish LaLiga2
18.10.26	Granada - Cádiz	2:0 ✺
12.10.26	Burgos - Granada	0:1 ✺
04.10.26	Real Sociedad B - Granada	2:3 ✺
26.09.26	Granada - FC Andorra	2:3 ✺
20.09.26	Leganés - Granada	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WWWLL
- Real Valladolid
Spanish LaLiga2
18.10.26	Valladolid - Eldense	2:3 ✺
12.10.26	Valladolid - Albacete Balompié	5:0 ✺
04.10.26	Las Palmas - Valladolid	2:2 ✺
27.09.26	Valladolid - Córdoba	3:1 ✺
20.09.26	Ceuta - Valladolid	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
14.02.26	Granada - Valladolid	5:1
03.11.25	Valladolid - Granada	2:1
Spanish LaLiga
11.04.21	Valladolid - Granada	1:2
22.11.20	Granada - Valladolid	1:3
Club Friendly
28.08.20	Granada - Valladolid	0:3
Spanish LaLiga
15.02.20	Granada - Valladolid	2:1
24.09.19	Valladolid - Granada	1:1

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