Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 30

Date: 29 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Municipal de Tarazona (Tarazona)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub, LaLiga+


	Tarazona		Eldense

	1	X	2
	2.6	2.8	2.63
	2.72	2.82	2.72
	2.74	2.74	2.93
	2.76	2.75	2.91	Watch
	2.7	2.63	2.7
	2.73	2.94	2.76
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.71 ↓ (3.05)	2.78 ↓ (2.8)	2.78 ↑ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tarazona
33.9%

Draw
33%

Eldense
33.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.4%

33.2%

36.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.5%

33.3%

36.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tarazona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Eldense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tarazona than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eldense than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Tarazona - Eldense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Josele (G) 16. Delmas J. 5. Traore B. 3. Martinez Chechu 21. Nieto C. 14. Borge A. 8. Ramon T. 23. Rodriguez D. 6. Carrasco O. 17. Jimenez A. 9. Cubillas D. (C)	1. Vila R. (G) 19. Ibarrondo A. 2. Serradell A. G. 3. Smand F. 21. Ruiz D. 6. Calvo B. 8. Bustillo M. 7. Quintana Nacho 18. Macho G. 10. Fidel (C) 20. Ibanez R.
Substitutes
13. Amigo A. (G) 19. Armero S. 2. Lopez A. 20. Martinez J. 7. Soto D. 4. Trilles M. 22. Vaquero	24. Alba H. 11. Bellari H. 15. Billups B. 4. Dumic D. 5. Gaixas A. 34. Gonzalez H. 22. Nunez R. 13. Valencia P. (G) 23. Vallejo J. 14. Vega O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
20', 🟨,
21', 🟨,
26', 0 - 1, Quintana Nacho (Penalty Awarded),
27', Quintana Nacho 🟨,
32', 🟨,
36', Carrasco O. 🟨,
45+1', 🟨,
45+3', Quintana Nacho 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
48', Traore B. 🟨,
59', Traore B. ↓, Soto D. ↑,
59', Rodriguez D. ↓, Armero S. ↑,
63', 0 - 2, Ibanez R. ⚽,
73', 1 - 2, Martinez Chechu ⚽,
74', Fidel ↓, Bellari H. ↑,
74', Ibanez R. ↓, Vallejo J. ↑,
83', Bellari H. 🟨,
86', Nieto C. ↓, Vaquero ↑,
90+2', Vaquero 🟨,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1).

Tarazona has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Eldense has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Eldense may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Tarazona won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Eldense - the odds 2.55 are the expected chance of winning is 36.41%, but this team recently wins 8% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Tarazona
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
22.03.26	Real Murcia - Tarazona	1:0 ✺
15.03.26	Tarazona - Atlético Madrid B	1:4 ✺
08.03.26	Tarazona - Cartagena	0:0 ✺
01.03.26	Ibiza - Tarazona	1:0 ✺
21.02.26	Tarazona - Sevilla B	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LLTLW
- CD Eldense
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
22.03.26	Eldense - Ibiza	3:0 ✺
14.03.26	Atlético Sanluqueño - Eldense	1:4 ✺
07.03.26	Eldense - Gimnástic de Tarragona	4:1 ✺
04.03.26	Villarreal B - Eldense	2:0 ✺
28.02.26	Hércules - Eldense	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
13.12.25	Eldense - Tarazona	1:0

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