Match Info

Allsvenskan - Round 23

Date: 14 September 2025, Sunday

Location: Borås Arena (Borås)

Referee: Ladeback A. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	HBO Max, Veikkaus TV
Italy	Amazon Prime Video
Sweden	Discovery+, HBO Max, max Extra 2, TV4 Play


	Elfsborg		Malmö

	1	X	2
	3.75	3.6	1.91	Watch
	3.3	3.6	2
	3.5	3.65	1.95
	3.54	3.55	2.16
	7.56	4.61	1.40	Watch
	3.2	3.4	2.1
	3.6	3.72	1.98	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.06 ↑ (3.48)	3.73 ↑ (3.53)	1.93 ↓ (2.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elfsborg
23.8%

Draw
25.9%

Malmö
50.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27%

26.7%

46.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.9%

25.6%

48.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elfsborg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Malmö has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elfsborg than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Malmö than the current prediction. (-2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	20%	60%

Elfsborg - Malmö Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Elfsborg will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Malmö will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Malmö: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Elfsborg (votes: 1 - 50%). Malmö (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0, 1st Half - Elfsborg (2.42) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Elfsborg (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Malmö (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Eriksson S. (G) 6. Wikstrom R. 8. Holmen S. (C) 29. Buhari I. 23. Hult N. 9. Zeneli A. 27. Zeneli B. 5. Wenderson 15. Hedlund S. 21. Ostman L. 18. Magnusson J.	30. Olsen R. (G) 17. Stryger J. 18. Jansson P. (C) 5. Djuric A. 25. Busanello 8. Sigurdsson A. 23. Johnsen L. 37. Skogmar A. 38. Bolin H. 32. Gudjohnsen D. T. 29. Haksabanovic S.
Substitutes
28. Aronsson F. 17. Frick P. 16. Hellemaa A. 24. Ihler F. 13. Larsson J. 31. Pettersson I. (G) 20. Rapp G. 25. Sigurpalsson A. 11. Silverholt T.	22. Ali T. 40. Busuladzic K. 10. Christiansen A. 11. Ekong E. 33. Ellborg M. (G) 21. Holmquist S. 2. Karlsson J. 19. Rosler C.
Coaches
Hiljemark O.	Rydstrom H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
8', 0 - 1, Gudjohnsen D. T. (Pen),
30', Sigurdsson A. ↓, Ali T. ↑,
33', 0 - 2, Gudjohnsen D. T. ⚽, Bolin H. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
50', Hedlund S. 🟨,
54', Holmen S. ↓, Rapp G. ↑,
66', Ostman L. ↓, Sigurpalsson A. ↑,
66', Zeneli A. ↓, Silverholt T. ↑,
72', 1 - 2, Zeneli B. ⚽, Rapp G. (A),
77', 2 - 2, Wikstrom R. ⚽,
78', Gudjohnsen D. T. ↓, Busuladzic K. ↑,
78', Haksabanovic S. ↓, Ekong E. ↑,
84', Johnsen L. ↓, Holmquist S. ↑,
88', Wikstrom R. 🟨,
90+1', Zeneli B. ↓, Ihler F. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 7 and 4).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Elfsborg won 1.

Elfsborg is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Malmö is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Elfsborg may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Malmö will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Elfsborg: Pettersson I. (Groin Injury)

There will not play in Malmö: Botheim E. (Broken Leg) Dahlin J. (Knee Injury) Lajqi G. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Elfsborg: Hult N. (Injury)

There are questionable in Malmö: Jansson P. (Muscle Injury) Rosler C. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Elfsborg won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 22:36. (average 1.1:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Elfsborg won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:12. (average 1.8:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IF Elfsborg
Swedish Allsvenskan
30.08.25	Brommapojkarna - Elfsborg	3:0 ✺
24.08.25	Elfsborg - Halmstad	1:2 ✺
Svenska Cupen
20.08.25	Haninge - Elfsborg	0:1 ✺
Swedish Allsvenskan
16.08.25	Norrköping - Elfsborg	2:1 ✺
11.08.25	Elfsborg - Värnamo	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLWLT
- Malmö FF
Swedish Allsvenskan
31.08.25	Malmö - Degerfors	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
28.08.25	Sigma Olomouc - Malmö	0:2 ✺
Swedish Allsvenskan
24.08.25	Malmö - IFK Göteborg	0:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
21.08.25	Malmö - Sigma Olomouc	3:0 ✺
Swedish Allsvenskan
16.08.25	Halmstad - Malmö	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 TWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Allsvenskan
07.04.25	Malmö - Elfsborg	2:1
Svenska Cupen
10.03.25	Malmö - Elfsborg	1:0 ET
Swedish Allsvenskan
28.05.24	Malmö - Elfsborg	2:1
05.05.24	Elfsborg - Malmö	3:1
12.11.23	Malmö - Elfsborg	1:0
28.05.23	Elfsborg - Malmö	3:0
04.09.22	Elfsborg - Malmö	3:2

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