Match Info

Allsvenskan - Round 25

Date: 23 October 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Borås Arena (Borås) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Maqedonci G. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Hong Kong	01:00	HOY TV
Norway	19:00	VG+
Sweden	19:00	TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play


	Elfsborg		Malmö

	1	X	2
	1.96	3.90	3.25
	2.05	3.60	3.25
	2.00	3.55	3.40
	2.11	3.83	3.46
	2.01	3.81	3.41	Watch
	2.03	3.75	3.35
	2.02	3.94	3.29	Watch
	2.02	3.65	3.20
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↓ (2.27)	3.75 ↑ (3.37)	3.33 ↑ (2.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elfsborg
46.5%

Draw
25.1%

Malmö
28.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

40.7%

27.5%

31.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.4%

27.9%

31.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elfsborg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Elfsborg's performance.

Malmö has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elfsborg than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Elfsborg that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Malmö than the current prediction. (+3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	12.5%	25%

Elfsborg - Malmö Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Elfsborg will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Malmö will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Malmö (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (1.57) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (1.59) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Pettersson I. (G) 16. Jensen A. 6. Wikstrom R. 4. Isherwood T. 23. Hult N. (C) 18. Magnusson J. 10. Olsson S. 29. Kamara M. 19. Beck J. 9. Zeneli A. 21. Ostman L.	1. Olsen R. (C) 17. Stryger J. 5. Djuric A. 2. Gregersen S. 25. Busanello 37. Skogmar A. 7. Rosengren O. 47. Lundbergh T. 28. Milosavljevic J. 9. Garcia D. 29. Haksabanovic S.
Substitutes
3. Esenga J. 17. Frick P. 15. Hedlund S. 8. Holmen S. 5. Nordvall O. 7. Rohden M. 12. Sander T. (G) 25. Sigurpalsson A. 11. Silverholt T.	10. Christiansen A. 27. Dahlin J. (G) 11. Ekong E. 32. Gudjohnsen D. T. 42. Jeppsson V. 6. Karabelyov Y. 4. Kurtulus B. 44. Palsson M. 54. Sundgren A.
Coaches
Hamberg B.	Helstrup G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
45', Gregersen S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Haksabanovic S. ↓, Christiansen A. ↑,
65', Zeneli A. ↓, Sigurpalsson A. ↑,
65', Olsson S. ↓, Hedlund S. ↑,
65', Garcia D. ↓, Gudjohnsen D. T. ↑,
65', Rosengren O. ↓, Ekong E. ↑,
74', Isherwood T. 🟨,
76', Christiansen A. 🟨,
78', Beck J. ↓, Rohden M. ↑,
79', Wikstrom R. ↓, Holmen S. ↑,
80', Lundbergh T. ↓, Jeppsson V. ↑,
87', Holmen S. 🟨,
88', Kamara M. ↓, Silverholt T. ↑,
90', Gregersen S. ↓, Palsson M. ↑,
90+4', Hult N. 🟨,

Preview

An exciting matchup between two close rivals in the standings (ranked 5th and 7th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Elfsborg won 1.

Elfsborg has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Malmö has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Recently, Malmö has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.

Elfsborg is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

Confirmed absences for Elfsborg: Hagg L. (Inactive) Rohden M. (Muscle Injury).

Confirmed absences for Malmö: Assibu I. (Inactive) Busuladzic K. (Injury) Jansson P. (Knee Injury) John N. (Inactive) Kamanzi W. (Muscle Injury) Sjostrand O. (Knee Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for Malmö: Lahdo M. (Injury).

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Elfsborg has recorded 6 wins, 3 draws, and 11 losses, with a goal aggregate of 25:31 (averaging 1.3:1.6 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Elfsborg against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses, with 17:12 goals (averaging 1.9:1.3 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Elfsborg	26	11	10	5	39:26	13	43
8	Malmo FF	25	11	4	10	38:34	4	37

Last Results with these Odds

Elfsborg - the odds 2.27 are the expected chance of winning is 40.69%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IF Elfsborg
Swedish Allsvenskan
18.10.26	Sirius - Elfsborg	2:2 ✺
12.10.26	Elfsborg - Halmstad	4:0 ✺
Club Friendly
02.10.26	Elfsborg - Häcken	0:1 ✺
Swedish Allsvenskan
20.09.26	Djurgården - Elfsborg	1:2 ✺
13.09.26	Elfsborg - Kalmar	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 TWLWW
- Malmö FF
Swedish Allsvenskan
18.10.26	Malmö - Häcken	0:1 ✺
12.10.26	Malmö - Kalmar	1:0 ✺
19.09.26	Västerås SK - Malmö	2:0 ✺
13.09.26	Malmö - Örgryte	4:1 ✺
07.09.26	Malmö - AIK	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Allsvenskan
26.07.26	Malmö - Elfsborg	1:2
14.09.25	Elfsborg - Malmö	2:2
07.04.25	Malmö - Elfsborg	2:1
Svenska Cupen
10.03.25	Malmö - Elfsborg	1:0 ET
Swedish Allsvenskan
28.05.24	Malmö - Elfsborg	2:1
05.05.24	Elfsborg - Malmö	3:1
12.11.23	Malmö - Elfsborg	1:0

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