Match Info

Esiliiga - Round 21

Date: 26 July 2025, Saturday

Location: Nike Arena (Elva)


	Elva		Tammeka U21

	1	X	2
	1.15	7.5	11
	1.08	8.6	14.5
	1.08	9.33	12.6
	1.16	7.91	12.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.12 ↓ (1.15)	8.34 ↑ (7.52)	12.7 ↑ (8.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.50

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elva
81.8%

Draw
11%

Tammeka U21
7.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

77.8%

11.9%

10.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Tammeka U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Elva - Tammeka U21 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
77. Rebane S. (G) 36. Ilves E. 6. Kutt V. 5. Jagodinskis R. 33. Harm H. 27. Laaneots D. 15. Jaagant R. 18. Poldsaar K. (C) 9. Villems M. 28. Lehter D. 26. Okoro A.	22. Sahtel K. (G) 2. Alekand K. 4. Vaino M. (C) 14. Kupits K. 25. Puu J. 23. Viinapuu A. 6. Korgvee G. 27. Burov K. 31. Karis K. 19. Sirk A. 9. Ignatius C.
Substitutes
12. Janes M. (G) 32. Kakk A. (G) 13. Kanter J. 25. Karasjov N. 30. Karpenkov V. 23. Lindmae R. 10. Reilson J. 8. Tinn K.	12. Antsov A. (G) 7. Dobosev-Proosvali A. 10. Hurt R. 13. Jurgenthal G. 5. Kiidjarv L. 3. Kupits K. 8. Leppik K. 21. Piho O. 24. Rand K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
36', 🟨,
45', 1 - 0, Poldsaar K. ⚽,
45+5', 🟨,
45+7', 🟨,
45+7', 🟨,
45+7', Villems M. 🟥,
45+8', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
66', 2 - 0, ⚽,
88', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Elva won 3.

Elva has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Tammeka U21 is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Elva is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Elva won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 27:23. (average 2.1:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Elva won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 18:12. (average 2.6:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Elva
Estonian Esiliiga
19.07.25	Elva - Viimsi JK	0:3 ✺
12.07.25	Flora U21 - Elva	2:0 ✺
05.07.25	Elva - Tallinna Kalev U21	5:3 ✺
28.06.25	Nõmme United - Elva	4:1 ✺
19.06.25	Elva - Viimsi JK	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LLWLW
- JK Tammeka Tartu U21
Estonian Esiliiga
19.07.25	FC Tallinn - Tammeka U21	2:0 ✺
12.07.25	Tammeka U21 - Nõmme Kalju U21	1:5 ✺
05.07.25	Levadia Tallinn U21 - Tammeka U21	7:0 ✺
30.06.25	Tammeka U21 - Flora U21	2:1 ✺
20.06.25	Tammeka U21 - Nõmme United	0:12 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 42 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Estonian Esiliiga
18.05.25	Tammeka U21 - Elva	2:5
27.03.25	Elva - Tammeka U21	4:3
26.09.21	Elva - Tammeka U21	1:4
30.06.21	Elva - Tammeka U21	4:0
27.05.21	Tammeka U21 - Elva	1:0
07.11.20	Tammeka U21 - Elva	1:3
25.10.20	Elva - Tammeka U21	0:1

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