Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 1

Date: 29 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Waldstadion Kaiserlinde (Spiesen-Elversberg)

Referee: Hartmann R. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Elversberg		Bayer Leverkusen

	1	X	2
	5.25	4.33	1.57	Watch
	4.75	4.40	1.62
	5.4	4.15	1.6	Watch
	5.4	4.65	1.62
	4.88	4.75	1.6	Watch
	5.15	4.35	1.62
	5.39	4.45	1.61	Watch
	5.2	4.5	1.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.18 ↑ (5.17)	4.45 ↓ (4.55)	1.61 ↑ (1.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 1.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elversberg
18.6%

Draw
21.6%

Bayer Leverkusen
59.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.4%

20.9%

60.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.8%

20.3%

62.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elversberg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Bayer Leverkusen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elversberg than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bayer Leverkusen than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
2.9%	8.6%	88.6%

Elversberg - Bayer Leverkusen Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Elversberg (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Bayer (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Bayer (1.17) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Bayer (1.23) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (1.52) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Bayer Leverkusen will win (31 of 35 users predict this - 88.57%).
Confidence interval (95%): 78.03% – 99.11%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Elversberg (votes: 1 - 20%). Bayer (votes: 4 - 80%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
20. Kristof N. (G) 30. Gyamerah J. 19. Pinckert L. (C) 31. Rohr M. 21. Gunther L. 43. Keidel F. 8. Poreba L. 25. Petkov L. 40. Onyeka F. 39. Campbell C. 42. Mokwa Ntusu D.	1. Flekken M. (G) 17. Lucas 5. Bade L. 12. Tapsoba E. (C) 3. Gutierrez M. 6. Fernandez E. 24. Garcia A. 30. Maza I. 10. Tillman M. 9. Moreira A. 14. Schick P.
Substitutes
28. Boss T. (G) 6. Conde A. 10. Darvich N. 9. Futkeu N. 7. Krattenmacher M. 3. Le Joncour F. 2. Mickelson N. 24. Schnellbacher L. 26. Sirch L.	8. Andrich R. 13. Arthur 44. Belocian J. 28. Blaswich J. (G) 22. Boniface V. 7. Hofmann J. 35. Kofane C. 2. Medina F. 4. Quansah J.
Coaches
Wagner V.	Martinez C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Petkov L. ⚽, Onyeka F. (A),
9', 2 - 0, Campbell C. ⚽,
29', Rohr M. 🟨,
41', Campbell C. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', 3 - 0, Mokwa Ntusu D. ⚽, Petkov L. (A),
53', Maza I. 🟨,
55', Bade L. ↓, Quansah J. ↑,
55', Fernandez E. ↓, Medina F. ↑,
55', Lucas ↓, Kofane C. ↑,
65', Campbell C. ↓, Krattenmacher M. ↑,
65', Onyeka F. ↓, Darvich N. ↑,
65', Tillman M. ↓, Hofmann J. ↑,
75', Mokwa Ntusu D. ↓, Schnellbacher L. ↑,
75', Gyamerah J. ↓, Sirch L. ↑,
77', 3 - 1, Schick P. ⚽, Maza I. (A),
78', Medina F. 🟨,
82', Rohr M. ↓, Le Joncour F. ↑,
85', Moreira A. ↓, Boniface V. ↑,
89', Kristof N. 🟨,
90+1', 3 - 2, Kofane C. ⚽,

Preview

Now, both teams are in good form.

Recently, Elversberg has had a series of away games.

In this match, Bayer is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Elversberg: Seifert L. (Ankle Injury)

There will not play in Bayer: Ben Seghir E. (Thigh Injury) Culbreath M. (Injury) Eichhorn K. (Illness) Terrier M. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Elversberg: Zimmerschied T. (Back Injury)

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Elversberg won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:6. (average 2:3).

Including home match between the teams, Elversberg won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3.

Outrights of German Bundesliga for now

Bayer Leverkusen: 3.01% Elversberg: 0.32%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Bayer Leverkusen	4	2	1	1	10:5	5	7
8	Elversberg	4	2	1	1	8:7	1	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SV Elversberg
German DFB Pokal
22.08.26	Duisburg - Elversberg	1:3 ✺
Club Friendly
15.08.26	Elversberg - Lorient	4:1 ✺
04.08.26	Strasbourg - Elversberg	2:5 ✺
25.07.26	NEC Nijmegen - Elversberg	0:1 ✺
17.07.26	Viktoria Köln - Elversberg	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19 WWWWL
- Bayer Leverkusen
German DFB Pokal
22.08.26	Wehen Wiesbaden - Bayer Leverkusen	0:4 ✺
Club Friendly
15.08.26	Newcastle United - Bayer Leverkusen	1:2 ✺
12.08.26	Nottingham Forest - Bayer Leverkusen	2:1 ✺
01.08.26	Bayer Leverkusen - Rot-Weiß Essen	3:0 ✺
29.07.26	Bayer Leverkusen - Genk	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

German DFB Pokal
29.10.24	Bayer Leverkusen - Elversberg	3:0
30.07.22	Elversberg - Bayer Leverkusen	4:3

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