Match Info

ITALY: Serie A - Round 4

Date: 14 September 2024, Saturday

Location: Stadio Carlo Castellani (Empoli)

Referee: Di Bello M. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, New World Sport 2, New World Sport App, SuperSport Football, SuperSport GOtv Football, ZAP
Albania	Tring Sport 1
Angola	Z Sport 1
Argentina	ESPN 2
Armenia	Fast Sports 2
Asia	STARZPLAY, STARZPLAY, STARZPLAY
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Austria	DAZN 2, DAZN Austria
Belgium	DAZN 1, DAZN 3, Play Sports 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2, Moja TV
Brazil	Claro TV+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Canada	FuboTV
Chile	ESPN 2
Colombia	ESPN 2
Croatia	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Denmark	TV2 Play
Europe	Go3 Sport 2 Baltic
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Urheilu 2
Georgia	Setanta Sports 2
Germany	DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2, DAZN Fast+, Sky Go Germany
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 2
Hong-kong	M Plus Live
Hungary	Arena 4, Net4+ Sport
India	GXR World
Italy	214 DAZN Zona, DAZN 1, DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	ART Sport 2
Macao	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Mexico	ESPN
Montenegro	Arena Premium 1
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 3
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	ESPN 2 Caribbean, ESPN Norte
North-macedonia	Arena Premium 1
Norway	VG+
Poland	Eleven Sports 1
Portugal	Sport TV2
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 4, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 1, Sportbox.ru
Saudi-arabia	STC TV
Serbia	Arena Premium 1, Arena Premium 2
Slovenia	Arena Sport 2
South-africa	SuperSport Maximo 360
South-korea	SPOTV Prime 2
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Tanzania	Azam Sports 3
Turkey	S Sport 2, S Sport+
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1
United-arab-emirates	Abu Dhabi Sports Premium 1
Usa	CBS, Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports 1, Foxsports.com, FuboTV, Paramount+
Venezuela	Inter
World	Disney+, Onefootball app, Prima+ app


	Empoli		Juventus

	1	X	2
	6	3.7	1.62	Watch
	6	3.6	1.63
	5.9	3.7	1.62	Watch
	6.33	3.75	1.65
	6.03	3.64	1.68	Watch
	6	3.6	1.65
	6.16	3.89	1.68	Watch
	6	3.75	1.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.05 ↑ (4.69)	3.7 ↑ (3.61)	1.65 ↓ (1.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

Watch this match and Italian Serie A with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: FOX Deportes

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Current Win Probability

Empoli
15.9%

Draw
25.9%

Juventus
58.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.3%

26.4%

53.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.8%

30.1%

60.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Empoli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Juventus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Empoli than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juventus than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
4.2%	7%	88.7%

Empoli - Juventus Predictions

Users Predictions: Juventus will win (63 of 70 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 82.97% – 97.03%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Vasquez Llach D. S. (G) 2. Goglichidze S. 34. Ismajli A. 21. Viti M. 11. Gyasi E. 5. Grassi A. (C) 6. Henderson L. 93. Maleh Y. 3. Pezzella G. 99. Esposito Se. 29. Colombo L.	1. Perin M. (G) 15. Kalulu P. 3. Bremer 4. Gatti F. (C) 27. Cambiaso A. 5. Locatelli M. 26. Douglas Luiz 11. Gonzalez N. 8. Koopmeiners T. 10. Yildiz K. 9. Vlahovic D.
Substitutes
8. Anjorin F. 98. Brancolini F. (G) 13. Cacace L. 22. De Sciglio M. 19. Ekong E. 32. Haas N. 90. Konate I. 35. Marianucci L. 9. Pellegri P. 7. Sambia J. 15. Sazonov S. 12. Seghetti J. (G)	17. Adzic V. 32. Cabal J. 6. Danilo 29. Di Gregorio M. (G) 21. Fagioli N. 51. Mbangula S. 16. McKennie W. 23. Pinsoglio C. (G) 40. Rouhi J. 37. Savona N. 19. Thuram K. 22. Weah T.
Coaches
D'Aversa R.	Motta T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
62', Bremer 🟨,
63', Colombo L. ↓, Pellegri P. ↑,
66', Locatelli M. ↓, Thuram K. ↑,
67', Yildiz K. ↓, Mbangula S. ↑,
67', Gonzalez N. ↓, Weah T. ↑,
67', Douglas Luiz ↓, Fagioli N. ↑,
72', Thuram K. 🟨,
75', Pellegri P. 🟨,
77', Grassi A. ↓, Anjorin F. ↑,
77', Esposito Se. ↓, Ekong E. ↑,
90', Henderson L. ↓, Haas N. ↑,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Empoli won 1.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Recently Juventus have a series of home games.

In this match Juventus is a favorite.

There will not play in Empoli: De Sciglio M. (Injury) Ebuehi T. (Knee Injury) Fazzini J. (Hip Injury)

There will not play in Juventus: Conceicao F. (Muscle Injury) Milik A. (Knee Injury) Pogba P. (Doping)

There are questionable in Empoli: Belardinelli L. (Injury) Perisan S. (Ankle Injury) Zurkowski S. (Injury)

Last 14 head-to-head matches Empoli won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 11 matches and goals 10-27.

Including matches at home between the teams Empoli won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 8-16.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Empoli
Italian Serie A
31.08.24	Bologna - Empoli	1:1 ✺
25.08.24	Roma - Empoli	1:2 ✺
17.08.24	Empoli - Monza	0:0 ✺
Coppa Italia
10.08.24	Empoli - Catanzaro	4:1 ✺
Club Friendly
03.08.24	Empoli - Sampdoria	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.5 TWTWL
- Juventus
Italian Serie A
01.09.24	Juventus - Roma	0:0 ✺
26.08.24	Verona - Juventus	0:3 ✺
19.08.24	Juventus - Como	3:0 ✺
Club Friendly
11.08.24	Juventus - Atlético Madrid	0:2 ✺
03.08.24	Juventus - Brest	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 TWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
27.01.24	Juventus - Empoli	1:1
03.09.23	Empoli - Juventus	0:2
22.05.23	Empoli - Juventus	4:1
21.10.22	Juventus - Empoli	4:0
26.02.22	Empoli - Juventus	2:3
28.08.21	Juventus - Empoli	0:1
30.03.19	Juventus - Empoli	1:0

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