Match Info

Serie A - Round 16

Date: 20 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Allianz Stadium (Turin)

Referee: Sozza S. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 3, DStv Now, New World Sport 2, SuperSport Football
Albania	Tring Sport 1
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 2
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Austria	DAZN
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2
Brazil	Disney+, ESPN 4
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Canada	DAZN Canada, TLN, VIVA
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN 2
Croatia	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Czech-republic	Sport 1
Denmark	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport
Europe	Go3 Sport 1 Baltic, Setanta Sports 2 Baltic
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
France	DAZN France
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 3
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 1, M Plus Live, Now Player
Hungary	Match 4
Indonesia	Vidio
Israel	ONE Sport 2
Italy	DAZN Italia, NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 251, Sky Sport 4K, Sky Sport Calcio, Sky Sport Uno
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	Setanta Sports
Kosovo	Arena Premium 1, ART Sport 1
Kuwait	Shasha
Malaysia	Astro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN 2
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 2
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Norway	VG+
Peru	Disney+
Poland	Eleven Sports 1
Portugal	Sport TV2
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3, Prima TV
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi-arabia	STC TV
Serbia	Arena Premium 1
Slovakia	Sport 1
Slovenia	Arena Sport 2
South-africa	SuperSport Football
South-america	ESPN 2 South
South-korea	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	ELTA Sports 2
Tunisia	Diwan Sport
Turkey	S Sport 2, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 1
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	DAZN
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	DAZN Espanol, DAZN USA, Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, Fox, Paramount+, SiriusXM FC
Venezuela	Disney+, Inter
Vietnam	K+, ON Football, ON Plus, VTVcab


	Juventus		Roma

	1	X	2
	2.05	3	4.2	Watch
	2.12	3.2	3.7	Watch
	2.06	3.2	4.35
	2.15	3.12	4.08	Watch
	2.05	3.2	3.5
	2.14	3.25	4.16
	2.08	3	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↑ (2.04)	3.14 ↓ (3.34)	4.03 ↑ (3.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juventus
45.7%

Draw
30.5%

Roma
23.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

46.7%

28.5%

24.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48%

27.7%

24.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juventus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Roma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juventus than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roma than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
54.5%	34.1%	11.4%

Juventus - Roma Predictions

Users Predictions: 44 users predict this event. Juventus will win (votes: 24 - 54.5%). Roma will win (votes: 5 - 11.4%). It will Tie (votes: 15 - 34.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Juventus: 39.8% – 69.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 21 Selected Experts predict this event. Juventus (votes: 11 - 52.4%). Roma (votes: 3 - 14.3%). Tie (votes: 7 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - draw (4.73) (votes: 0 - 0%) .

DC - Juventus (1.26) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.5 - Roma (9.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 23 Selected Experts predict this event. Juventus (votes: 12 - 52.2%). Roma (votes: 4 - 17.4%). Tie (votes: 7 - 30.4%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Di Gregorio M. (G) 15. Kalulu P. 3. Bremer 6. Kelly L. 22. McKennie W. 5. Locatelli M. (C) 19. Thuram K. 27. Cambiaso A. 7. Conceicao F. 10. Yildiz K. 20. Openda L.	99. Svilar M. (G) 23. Mancini G. 24. Ziolkowski J. 2. Rensch D. 19. Celik Z. 4. Cristante B. (C) 17. Kone M. 43. Wesley Franca 18. Soule M. 7. Pellegrini Lo. 21. Dybala P.
Substitutes
17. Adzic V. 30. David J. 25. Joao Mario 18. Kostic F. 14. Milik A. 21. Miretti F. 44. Pedro Felipe 1. Perin M. (G) 40. Rouhi J. 24. Rugani D. 42. Scaglia S. (G) 11. Zhegrova E.	3. Angelino 69. Bah M. 31. Bailey L. 35. Baldanzi T. 66. Buba Aboubacar 92. El Shaarawy S. 11. Ferguson E. 87. Ghilardi D. 95. Gollini P. (G) 22. Hermoso M. 76. Mirra J. 61. Pisilli N. 12. Tsimikas K. 32. Vasquez Llach D. S. (G)
Coaches
Spalletti L.	Gasperini G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
21', Soule M. 🟨,
24', Conceicao F. 🟨,
44', 1 - 0, Conceicao F. ⚽, Cambiaso A. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
53', Pellegrini Lo. ↓, Bailey L. ↑,
56', Dybala P. ↓, Baldanzi T. ↑,
56', Soule M. ↓, Ferguson E. ↑,
61', Conceicao F. ↓, Zhegrova E. ↑,
61', Bremer ↓, Rugani D. ↑,
65', Kone M. 🟨,
70', 2 - 0, Openda L. ⚽, McKennie W. (A),
74', Bailey L. ↓, El Shaarawy S. ↑,
76', 2 - 1, Baldanzi T. ⚽,
82', Openda L. ↓, David J. ↑,
84', Cristante B. 🟨,
87', McKennie W. 🟨,
89', Cambiaso A. ↓, Kostic F. ↑,
89', Yildiz K. ↓, Miretti F. ↑,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Juventus won 1.

Juventus is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Roma has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Juventus is the team to beat.

There will not play in Juventus: Gatti F. (Knee Injury) Koopmeiners T. (Yellow Cards) Pinsoglio C. (Calf Injury) Vlahovic D. (Groin Injury)

There will not play in Roma: Bove E. (Heart Problems) Dovbyk A. (Muscle Injury) El Aynaoui N. (International duty) Ndicka E. (International duty)

There are questionable in Juventus: Milik A. (Calf Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Juventus won 10 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 25:20. (average 1.3:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Juventus won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:5. (average 1.2:0.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Roma - the odds 3.83 are the expected chance of winning is 24.85%, but this team recently wins 8% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Juventus
Italian Serie A
14.12.25	Bologna - Juventus	0:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
10.12.25	Juventus - Paphos	2:0 ✺
Italian Serie A
07.12.25	Napoli - Juventus	2:1 ✺
Coppa Italia
02.12.25	Juventus - Udinese	2:0 ✺
Italian Serie A
29.11.25	Juventus - Cagliari	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WWLWW
- AS Roma
Italian Serie A
15.12.25	Roma - Como	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
11.12.25	Celtic - Roma	0:3 ✺
Italian Serie A
07.12.25	Cagliari - Roma	1:0 ✺
30.11.25	Roma - Napoli	0:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
27.11.25	Roma - Midtjylland	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
06.04.25	Roma - Juventus	1:1
01.09.24	Juventus - Roma	0:0
05.05.24	Roma - Juventus	1:1
30.12.23	Juventus - Roma	1:0
05.03.23	Roma - Juventus	1:0
27.08.22	Juventus - Roma	1:1
09.01.22	Roma - Juventus	3:4

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