Match Info

Serie B - Round 12

Date: 8 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadio Carlo Castellani (Empoli)

Referee: Galipo S. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Italia, LAB Channel
World	Onefootball


	Empoli		Catanzaro

	1	X	2
	2.57	2.82	2.95	Watch
	1.45	4.25	5.35	Watch
	2.54	3.05	3.25
	2.06	3.55	3.16	Watch
	2.49	3	3.01	Watch
	2.21	3.25	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↑ (2.1)	3.32 ↓ (3.38)	3.49 ↑ (3.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Empoli
43.4%

Draw
29%

Catanzaro
27.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.1%

27.4%

28.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.9%

27.9%

28%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Empoli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Catanzaro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Empoli than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Catanzaro than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	33.3%	33.3%

Empoli - Catanzaro Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Empoli will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). Catanzaro will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Empoli: 6.6% – 60%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Empoli (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Fulignati A. (G) 2. Curto M. 34. Guarino G. (C) 5. Obaretin N. 7. Elia S. 14. Yepes G. 77. Popov B. 6. Degli Innocenti D. 27. Moruzzi B. 70. Saporiti E. 11. Shpendi S.	22. Pigliacelli M. (G) 84. Cassandro T. 4. Matias Antonini 23. Brighenti N. 27. Favasuli C. 32. Rispoli F. 20. Pontisso S. 17. Di Chiara G. 98. Buglio D. 80. Cisse A. 9. Iemmello P. (C)
Substitutes
99. Bianchi F. 79. Carboni F. 15. Ceesay J. 12. Gasparini M. (G) 32. Haas N. 10. Ilie R. 28. Indragoli G. 90. Konate I. 20. Lovato M. 19. Nasti M. 9. Pellegri P. 1. Perisan S. (G)	30. Alesi G. 5. Bashi E. 18. Bettella D. 45. Buso N. 77. D'Alessandro M. 14. Liberali M. 1. Marietta C. (G) 19. Nuamah P. 28. Oudin R. 7. Pandolfi L. 10. Petriccione J. 8. Pittarello F.
Coaches
Dionisi A.	Aquilani A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
10', Cassandro T. ↓, Bettella D. ↑,
27', Obaretin N. 🟨,
31', Popov B. 🟨,
44', Popov B. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Obaretin N. ↓, Lovato M. ↑,
55', Bettella D. 🟨,
59', 1 - 0, Shpendi S. (Pen),
60', Pontisso S. ↓, Pandolfi L. ↑,
60', Di Chiara G. ↓, Nuamah P. ↑,
66', Brighenti N. 🟨,
66', Pigliacelli M. 🟨,
70', Yepes G. 🟨,
71', Saporiti E. ↓, Ilie R. ↑,
72', Shpendi S. ↓, Pellegri P. ↑,
72', Fulignati A. 🟨,
77', Brighenti N. ↓, Alesi G. ↑,
78', Buglio D. ↓, Liberali M. ↑,
86', Elia S. ↓, Carboni F. ↑,
86', Degli Innocenti D. ↓, Haas N. ↑,
90', Alesi G. 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Serie B (Play Out: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Catanzaro may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Empoli could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Empoli: Ceesay J. (Inactive) Haas N. (Inactive) Lovato M. (Inactive) Nasti M. (Inactive)

There will not play in Catanzaro: Di Francesco F. (Injury) Frosinini R. (Injury) Pompetti M. (Shin Injury) Verrengia B. (Injury)

There are questionable in Empoli: Ghion A. (Injury)

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Empoli won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1.

Including home match between the teams, Empoli won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Empoli
Italian Serie B
01.11.25	Virtus Entella - Empoli	1:0 ✺
28.10.25	Empoli - Sampdoria	1:1 ✺
24.10.25	Modena - Empoli	2:1 ✺
19.10.25	Empoli - Venezia	1:1 ✺
05.10.25	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Empoli	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LTLTW
- US Catanzaro
Italian Serie B
02.11.25	Catanzaro - Venezia	2:1 ✺
29.10.25	Mantova - Catanzaro	1:3 ✺
25.10.25	Catanzaro - Palermo	1:0 ✺
19.10.25	Catanzaro - Padova	0:1 ✺
04.10.25	Monza - Catanzaro	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Coppa Italia
10.08.24	Empoli - Catanzaro	4:1

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