Match Info

Date: 4 May 2021, Tuesday


	Empoli		Nuova Cosenza

	1	X	2
	1.33	5	9	Watch
	1.36	4.75	8.5
	1.33	4.85	9.5	Watch
	1.32	4.9	8
	1.36	5.05	10
	1.32	5	9.5
	1.34	5.35	8.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.34 ↓ (1.44)	4.99 ↑ (4.15)	9.01 ↑ (7.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Empoli
70.6%

Draw
18.9%

Nuova Cosenza
10.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.5%

22.4%

13.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.2%

12.2%

24%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Empoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Empoli's performance.

Nuova Cosenza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Empoli than the current prediction. (-35.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Empoli that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nuova Cosenza than the current prediction. (+13.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nuova Cosenza could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	15.4%	17.9%

Empoli - Nuova Cosenza Predictions

Users Predictions: 39 users predict this event. Empoli will win (votes: 26 - 66.7%). Cosenza will win (votes: 7 - 17.9%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Empoli: 51.9% – 81.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Empoli has not chance of relegated, has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very good chance of promoted (>99%), has a good chance of win league (95%).

Cosenza has a good chance of relegated (88%), has not chance of prom. playoffs.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Cosenza could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Empoli is certain favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Empoli won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Empoli won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Empoli
Italian Serie B
01.05.21	Ascoli - Empoli	2:0 ✺
27.04.21	Empoli - Chievo	2:2 ✺
17.04.21	Empoli - Brescia	4:2 ✺
13.04.21	Cremonese - Empoli	2:2 ✺
09.04.21	Reggiana - Empoli	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LTWTW
- Nuova Cosenza
Italian Serie B
01.05.21	Nuova Cosenza - Pescara	3:0 ✺
17.04.21	Pisa - Nuova Cosenza	3:0 ✺
11.04.21	Venezia - Nuova Cosenza	3:0 ✺
05.04.21	Nuova Cosenza - Cremonese	0:1 ✺
02.04.21	Nuova Cosenza - Ascoli	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
04.01.21	Nuova Cosenza - Empoli	0:2
27.07.20	Empoli - Nuova Cosenza	1:5
26.12.19	Nuova Cosenza - Empoli	1:0

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