The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Empoli 50.3%
Draw 29.3%
Chievo 20.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
47.6%
30.7%
21.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
59.6%
24.5%
17.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Empoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
Chievo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Empoli than the current prediction. (+9.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Empoli, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chievo than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
74.5%
16%
9.4%
Empoli - Chievo Predictions
Users Predictions:
106 users predict this event. Empoli will win (votes: 79 - 74.5%). Chievo will win (votes: 10 - 9.4%). It will Tie (votes: 17 - 16%). Confidence interval (95%) for Empoli: 66.2% โ 82.8%.The data is statistically significant.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion to Serie A and 8 in the zone Promotion to Serie B (Play Offs: Quartertofinals)).
Empoli has not chance of relegated, has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (2%), has a very good chance of promoted (98%), has a good chance of win league (84%).
Chievo has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a good chance of prom. playoffs (66%), has a small chance of promoted (8%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Empoli in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Chievo is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Chievo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Empoli is a favorite.
Last 14 head-to-head matches Empoli won 2 matches, drawn 9 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 12-17.
Including matches at home between the teams Empoli won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-6.
Watch
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