Match Info

Division Intermedia - Round 10

Date: 23 May 2025, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Paraguay	Tigo Sports+


	Encarnación		Guarani de Fram

	1	X	2
	2.65	3	2.4
	2.55	3.35	2.43
	2.48	3.64	2.39
	2.57	3.64	2.36	Watch
	2.63	3.3	2.58
	2.55	3.35	2.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.57 ↑ (2.23)	3.38 ↑ (3.3)	2.43 ↓ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Encarnación
35.5%

Draw
27%

Guarani de Fram
37.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.5%

27.3%

32.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.1%

26.3%

31%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Encarnación has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Guarani de Fram has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Guarani de Fram's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Encarnación than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Encarnación, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guarani de Fram than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Guarani de Fram, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Encarnación - Guarani de Fram Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
36', 0 - 1, Bareiro A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
84', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 14 and 16).

In recent matches, Encarnación has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Guarani de Fram has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Guarani de Fram may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Encarnación might have a minor edge in this game.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Encarnación FC
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
19.05.25	River Plate Asunción - Encarnación	4:1 ✺
15.05.25	Encarnación - Rubio Ñu	1:0 ✺
11.05.25	Pastoreo - Encarnación	1:1 ✺
05.05.25	Encarnación - Deportivo Santaní	1:0 ✺
27.04.25	Tacuary - Encarnación	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LWTWL
- Guarani de Fram
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
18.05.25	Guarani de Fram - 12 de Junio	0:3 ✺
14.05.25	Deportivo Capiatá - Guarani de Fram	3:2 ✺
08.05.25	Sportivo San Lorenzo - Guarani de Fram	2:1 ✺
02.05.25	Guarani de Fram - River Plate Asunción	2:2 ✺
27.04.25	Rubio Ñu - Guarani de Fram	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LLLTT

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