Match Info

GERMANY: REGIONALLIGA NORDOST - ROUND 11

Date: 21 October 2023, Saturday


	Energie Cottbus		Carl Zeiss Jena

	1	X	2
	1.72	3.7	3.75
	1.8	3.75	4	Watch
	1.86	3.7	3.89
	1.86	3.7	3.89
	1.82	3.74	3.82
	1.81	3.65	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↑ (1.54)	3.71 ↓ (4.25)	3.86 ↓ (5.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Energie Cottbus
51.1%

Draw
25%

Carl Zeiss Jena
24%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.2%

21.8%

18%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62%

21.2%

17.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Energie Cottbus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Energie Cottbus's form might have worsened.

Carl Zeiss Jena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Carl Zeiss Jena's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Energie Cottbus than the current prediction. (+10.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Energie Cottbus, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carl Zeiss Jena than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Carl Zeiss Jena, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Energie Cottbus - Carl Zeiss Jena Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 3 and 14).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Cottbus won 3.

Cottbus in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Carl Zeiss Jena is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Cottbus could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Cottbus is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Cottbus to win the game is with odds 1.77.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Cottbus won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Cottbus won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Energie Cottbus
German Regionalliga Nordost
06.10.23	Eilenburg - Energie Cottbus	1:3 ✺
30.09.23	Energie Cottbus - Meuselwitz	2:1 ✺
24.09.23	Altglienicke - Energie Cottbus	1:2 ✺
17.09.23	Energie Cottbus - Zwickau	3:1 ✺
01.09.23	Berliner AK 07 - Energie Cottbus	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WWWWW
- Carl Zeiss Jena
German Regionalliga Nordost
07.10.23	Carl Zeiss Jena - Hansa Rostock II	5:1 ✺
01.10.23	Rot-Weiß Erfurt - Carl Zeiss Jena	1:1 ✺
23.09.23	Carl Zeiss Jena - Viktoria 1889 Berlin	1:2 ✺
16.09.23	Hertha Berlin II - Carl Zeiss Jena	1:1 ✺
02.09.23	Carl Zeiss Jena - Luckenwalde	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WTLTW

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga Nordost
19.04.23	Energie Cottbus - Carl Zeiss Jena	1:0
28.09.22	Carl Zeiss Jena - Energie Cottbus	1:1
29.01.22	Energie Cottbus - Carl Zeiss Jena	0:1
27.10.21	Carl Zeiss Jena - Energie Cottbus	0:1
28.10.20	Carl Zeiss Jena - Energie Cottbus	1:2
German 3 Bundesliga
06.04.19	Carl Zeiss Jena - Energie Cottbus	2:1
27.10.18	Energie Cottbus - Carl Zeiss Jena	2:1

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