Match Info

ENGLAND: ISTHMIAN LEAGUE PREMIER DIVISION - ROUND 17

Date: 25 November 2023, Saturday


	Margate		Billericay Town

	1	X	2
	4	3.5	1.7
	4	3.75	1.72
	4.13	3.96	1.7
	4.14	3.96	1.71
	3.25	3.5	1.91
	4.2	3.72	1.68
	4	3.75	1.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.96 ↑ (3.41)	3.73 ↑ (3.58)	1.73 ↓ (1.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Margate
23%

Draw
24.4%

Billericay Town
52.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.6%

25.4%

48%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.7%

24.5%

49.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Margate has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Billericay Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Margate than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Billericay Town than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Margate - Billericay Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 15 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Isthmian League Premier Division (Play Offs: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Margate won 0.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Margate could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Billericay will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Margate won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 13-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Margate won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Margate
English Isthmian League Premier Division
21.11.23	Horsham - Margate	1:0 ✺
18.11.23	Wingate & Finchley - Margate	1:0 ✺
11.11.23	Dulwich Hamlet - Margate	2:2 ✺
07.11.23	Margate - Haringey Borough	1:1 ✺
04.11.23	Margate - Lewes	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LLTTW
- Billericay Town
English FA Trophy
18.11.23	Billericay Town - Tamworth	3:1 ✺
English Isthmian League Premier Division
13.11.23	Hashtag United - Billericay Town	2:1 ✺
11.11.23	Folkestone Invicta - Billericay Town	1:0 ✺
07.11.23	Billericay Town - Chatham Town	2:0 ✺
04.11.23	Billericay Town - Bognor Regis Town	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

English Isthmian League Premier Division
15.04.23	Billericay Town - Margate	3:0
02.12.22	Margate - Billericay Town	0:0
English FA Trophy
08.10.22	Billericay Town - Margate	2:0
English Isthmian League Premier Division
21.04.18	Margate - Billericay Town	1:2
06.01.18	Billericay Town - Margate	1:1
14.04.15	Billericay Town - Margate	4:3
23.08.14	Margate - Billericay Town	5:1

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