Match Info

ENGLAND: ISTHMIAN LEAGUE PREMIER DIVISION - ROUND 16

Date: 18 November 2023, Saturday


	Wingate & Finchley		Margate

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.6	3
	1.95	3.75	3.1
	1.96	3.89	3.28
	1.96	3.89	3.28
	2	3.75	2.88
	1.95	3.62	3.2
	1.95	3.75	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↓ (2.05)	3.75 ↓ (3.85)	3.12 ↑ (3.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wingate & Finchley
46.5%

Draw
24.3%

Margate
29.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.4%

24.2%

30.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.3%

24.7%

29.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wingate & Finchley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Margate has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wingate & Finchley than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Margate than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Wingate & Finchley - Margate Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 8 and 14).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Wingate & Finchley won 1.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Wingate & Finchley could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently opponents have a series of home games.

Wingate & Finchley will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 15 head-to-head matches Wingate & Finchley won 3 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 13-17.

Including matches at home between the teams Wingate & Finchley won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wingate & Finchley
English Isthmian League Premier Division
11.11.23	Lewes - Wingate & Finchley	1:2 ✺
04.11.23	Wingate & Finchley - Cray Wanderers	1:3 ✺
31.10.23	Wingate & Finchley - Enfield Town	1:4 ✺
24.10.23	Wingate & Finchley - Dulwich Hamlet	2:3 ✺
21.10.23	Wingate & Finchley - Canvey Island	6:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 WLLLW
- Margate
English Isthmian League Premier Division
11.11.23	Dulwich Hamlet - Margate	2:2 ✺
07.11.23	Margate - Haringey Borough	1:1 ✺
04.11.23	Margate - Lewes	2:0 ✺
24.10.23	Margate - Hastings United	1:2 ✺
21.10.23	Margate - Hashtag United	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 TTWLT

Latest Head to Head

English Isthmian League Premier Division
28.01.23	Margate - Wingate & Finchley	3:1
12.11.22	Wingate & Finchley - Margate	1:2
18.12.21	Margate - Wingate & Finchley	0:1
14.08.21	Wingate & Finchley - Margate	0:1
10.03.20	Margate - Wingate & Finchley	1:0
20.04.19	Wingate & Finchley - Margate	0:1
08.12.18	Margate - Wingate & Finchley	2:2

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