Match Info

Euro Women - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 22 July 2025, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stade de Genève (Geneva) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Martincic I. (Cro)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	Azam Sports 4, DStv Now, New World Sport 2, New World Sport App, Sporty TV, StarTimes App, SuperSport Football, SuperSport Maximo 360
Albania	21:00	RTSH Sport
Argentina	16:00	Disney+, ESPN 2
Armenia	23:00	1TV
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
Australia	05:00	Optus Sport, Stan Sport
Austria	21:00	ORF 1, ORF On, Sky Go Austria
Belgium	21:00	BNT News App, RTBF Auvio Direct, RTBF Tipik, VRT Canvas
Bosnia And Herzegovina	21:00	BHT 1
Brazil	16:00	Amazon Prime Video, Caze TV
Bulgaria	22:00	BNT 1, BNT 3
Canada	15:00	RDS, TSN+
Colombia	14:00	ESPN 2, ESPN
Croatia	21:00	HRT 2, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	22:00	RIK 1
Czech Republic	21:00	CT sport
Denmark	21:00	TV3, Viaplay
Estonia	22:00	ETV 2
Finland	22:00	Viaplay, YLE Areena, YLE TV2
France	21:00	Free, Molotov TV, TF 1, TMC
Georgia	23:00	1TV, 1TV Player
Germany	21:00	DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, WOW
Greece	22:00	ERT 2
Hong Kong	03:00	HOY TV
Hungary	21:00	M4 Sport
Iceland	19:00	RUV
India	00:30	FanCode, FanCode
Ireland	20:00	RTE 2, RTE Player
Italy	21:00	RAI 2, RaiPlay
Kosovo	21:00	RTK 1
Latvia	22:00	LTV 7
Lithuania	22:00	LRT Plius
Malta	21:00	TVM Sport+
Mexico	13:00	Disney+, ESPN
Moldova	22:00	TVR Moldova
Montenegro	21:00	TVCG 2
Netherlands	21:00	Canal+, NPO 1, Sporza
North Central America	—	ESPN Norte
North Macedonia	21:00	MRT 1, MRT Play
Norway	21:00	TV2, TV2 Play, Viaplay
Peru	14:00	Disney+
Poland	21:00	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app, TVP Sport
Portugal	20:00	Sport TV1
Romania	22:00	TVR+, TVR Sport
Serbia	21:00	RTS 2
Slovakia	21:00	STVR Sport
Slovenia	21:00	Slovenia TV2
South America	—	ESPN 2 South, ViX Latin America
Spain	21:00	RTVE Play, Teledeporte
Sweden	21:00	Discovery+, SVT 1, SVT Play, Viaplay
Switzerland	21:00	Play RTS, Play RTS, RSI La 2, RTS 2, RTS 2, RTS Sport, RTS Sport, SRF 2, SRF 2, SRF Play, SRF Play, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV, TF 1
Turkey	22:00	Tabii, TRT Spor
Ukraine	22:00	MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine, Suspilne Sport
United Kingdom	20:00	ITV 1, ITV X, STV, STV Player, UTV
Uruguay	16:00	Disney+
Usa	15:00	FOX Network, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, Fubo Sports Network
Venezuela	15:00	Disney+, Inter
International	19:00	Sport 24


	England W		Italy W

	1	X	2
	1.6	4	5.25
	1.6	3.9	5.25
	1.6	4.05	5.3
	1.62	4.05	6.3
	1.62	3.49	6.22	Watch
	1.57	3.9	5
	1.62	4.21	5.63
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↑ (1.51)	3.94 ↓ (4.47)	5.56 ↓ (5.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

England W
59%

Draw
24%

Italy W
17%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

62.8%

21.2%

16%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.5%

20.3%

15.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

England W has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Italy W has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for England W than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for England W, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Italy W than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
79.3%	10.3%	10.3%

England W - Italy W Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1 - Italy (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 50%) .

O/U 2.5, 1st Half - under (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

DC - Italy (2.28) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH 0 - England (1.22) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: England W will win (22 of 28 users predict this - 78.57%).
Confidence interval (95%): 63.37% – 93.77%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): England W will win (7 of 9 users predict this - 77.78%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. England (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Italy (votes: 2 - 16.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Hampton H. (G) Chelsea 2. Bronze L. Chelsea 6. Williamson L. (C) Arsenal 15. Morgan E. Washington Spirit 5. Greenwood A. Manchester City 10. Toone E. Manchester United 4. Walsh K. Chelsea 8. Stanway G. Bayern Munich 7. James L. Chelsea 23. Russo A. Arsenal 11. Hemp L. Manchester City	1. Giuliani L. (G) AC Milan 2. Oliviero E. Lazio 19. Lenzini M. Juventus 23. Salvai C. Juventus 5. Linari E. AS Roma 3. Di Guglielmo L. AS Roma 7. Cantore S. Washington Spirit 18. Caruso A. Bayern Munich 6. Giugliano M. AS Roma 11. Bonansea B. Juventus 10. Girelli C. (C) Juventus
Substitutes
17. Agyemang M. 19. Beever-Jones A. Chelsea 16. Carter J. Gotham FC 3. Charles N. Chelsea 14. Clinton G. Manchester United 21. Keating K. (G) Manchester City 18. Kelly C. Arsenal 12. Le Tissier M. Manchester United 9. Mead B. Arsenal 13. Moorhouse A. (G) Orlando Pride 20. Park J. Manchester City 22. Wubben-Moy C. Arsenal	12. Baldi R. (G) 14. Bergamaschi V. Juventus 17. Boattin L. Juventus 21. Cambiaghi M. Juventus 22. Durante F. (G) Inter 16. Goldoni E. Lazio 20. Greggi G. AS Roma 9. Piemonte M. Lazio 13. Piga J. AC Milan 4. Schatzer E. Juventus 15. Serturini A. Inter 8. Severini E. Fiorentina
Coaches
Wiegman S.	Soncin A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
33', 0 - 1, Bonansea B. ⚽, Cantore S. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', James L. ↓, Mead B. ↑,
64', Girelli C. ↓, Piemonte M. ↑,
73', Cantore S. ↓, Cambiaghi M. ↑,
73', Bonansea B. ↓, Severini E. ↑,
74', Giuliani L. 🟨,
74', Soncin A. 🟨,
77', Stanway G. ↓, Kelly C. ↑,
85', Williamson L. ↓, Agyemang M. ↑,
85', Russo A. ↓, Beever-Jones A. ↑,
88', Linari E. 🟨,
89', Giugliano M. ↓, Greggi G. ↑,
89', Lenzini M. ↓, Piga J. ↑,
90+2', Morgan E. 🟨,
90+2', Cambiaghi M. 🟨,
90+6', 1 - 1, Agyemang M. ⚽,
Extra Time (1 - 0)
106', Walsh K. ↓, Clinton G. ↑,
119', Kelly C. (Pen),
119', 2 - 1, Kelly C. ⚽,
120+1', Greenwood A. ↓, Carter J. ↑,
120+4', Mead B. 🟨,

Preview

Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.

England may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, England is the obvious favorite.

We predict that England will win today's game, with odds of 1.51.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, England won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:3. (average 2.7:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- England W
UEFA Euro Women
17.07.25	Sweden W - England W	2:3 penalties ✺
13.07.25	England W - Wales W	6:1 ✺
09.07.25	England W - Netherlands W	4:0 ✺
05.07.25	France W - England W	2:1 ✺
Friendly International Women
29.06.25	England W - Jamaica W	7:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WWWLW
- Italy W
UEFA Euro Women
16.07.25	Norway W - Italy W	1:2 ✺
11.07.25	Italy W - Spain W	1:3 ✺
07.07.25	Portugal W - Italy W	1:1 ✺
03.07.25	Belgium W - Italy W	0:1 ✺
UEFA Nations League Women
03.06.25	Wales W - Italy W	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Friendly International Women
27.02.24	Italy W - England W	1:5
Arnold Clark Cup Women
19.02.23	England W - Italy W	2:1
Friendly International Women
07.04.17	England W - Italy W	1:1

England W - Italy W