Match Info

COLOMBIA: Primera A - Apertura - Round 5

Date: 17 February 2025, Monday

Location: Estadio Polideportivo Sur (Envigado)

Referee: Melendez Panneflek A. J. (Col)

Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win Sports+, Win Sports Online
Mexico	VIX+, ViX Premium
South-america	ViX Latin America


	Envigado		Deportivo Pasto

	1	X	2
	3.25	2.75	2.5	Watch
	3.15	2.65	2.48	Watch
	3.55	2.65	2.61
	3.39	2.63	2.57	Watch
	3.2	2.62	2.5
	3.46	2.82	2.48	Watch
	3.15	2.65	2.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.31 ↑ (3.05)	2.68 ↓ (3.05)	2.52 ↑ (2.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Envigado
28.2%

Draw
34.8%

Deportivo Pasto
37%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.2%

39.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Envigado has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Deportivo Pasto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10%	80%	10%

Envigado - Deportivo Pasto Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Envigado will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Deportivo Pasto will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 77.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 50.6% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Escobar R. (G) 27. Uribe N. 2. Palacios D. 29. Ramirez C. 36. Murillo B. 14. Hinestroza J. 6. Palacio J. 34. Diaz L. 21. Lopez E. 25. Chacon S. 13. Soto T.	1. Martinez D. (C) 22. Alba I. 23. Rios J. 24. Alarcon A. 4. Caicedo L. 20. Castano M. 9. Torres G. 6. Caicedo J. 17. Jaramillo F. 77. Bone F. 27. Morinigo N.
Substitutes
31. Berrio F. 15. Cuervo S. 7. Dawson D. 18. Hurtado W. 16. Ramirez N. 17. Vargas A. 88. Villa M. (G)	33. Cabezas V. (G) 2. Carabali B. 13. Castilla J. 19. Castillo D. 70. Quinones D. 7. Rendon K. 21. Velasco E.
Coaches
Orozco A.	Ayala C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
19', Chacon S. 🟨,
33', Hinestroza J. 🟨,
35', 0 - 1, Torres G. ⚽, Bone F. (A),
37', Jaramillo F. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Hinestroza J. ↓, Hurtado W. ↑,
57', Soto T. ↓, Dawson D. ↑,
57', Chacon S. ↓, Ramirez N. ↑,
66', Martinez D. 🟨,
68', Bone F. ↓, Quinones D. ↑,
68', Torres G. ↓, Castillo D. ↑,
74', Lopez E. ↓, Berrio F. ↑,
74', Morinigo N. ↓, Castilla J. ↑,
86', Uribe N. ↓, Cuervo S. ↑,
89', Caicedo J. 🟨,
90+3', Caicedo L. 🟨,

Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 13 and 11).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Envigado won 1.

Envigado is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Envigado won 6 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 17:23 (average 0.9:1.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Envigado won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6:7 (average 0.7:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Envigado FC
Colombian Primera A
13.02.25	Deportivo La Equidad - Envigado	2:3 ✺
09.02.25	Envigado - Independiente Medellín	0:1 ✺
02.02.25	Deportivo Cali - Envigado	1:0 ✺
28.01.25	Fortaleza CEIF - Envigado	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
13.01.25	Envigado - Once Caldas	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.3 WLLTL
- Deportivo Pasto
Colombian Primera A
12.02.25	Deportivo Pasto - Boyacá Chicó	3:0 ✺
08.02.25	América de Cali - Deportivo Pasto	1:1 ✺
01.02.25	Deportivo Pasto - Millonarios	0:1 ✺
27.01.25	Deportes Tolima - Deportivo Pasto	2:0 ✺
08.12.24	Deportivo Pasto - Millonarios	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera A
09.10.24	Envigado - Deportivo Pasto	0:1
12.02.24	Deportivo Pasto - Envigado	0:1
07.11.23	Envigado - Deportivo Pasto	1:1
17.05.23	Deportivo Pasto - Envigado	2:1
13.07.22	Deportivo Pasto - Envigado	4:0
25.01.22	Envigado - Deportivo Pasto	1:0
22.08.21	Deportivo Pasto - Envigado	0:2

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