The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Envigado 24.5%
Draw 30.8%
Independiente Santa Fe 44.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
24.5%
31.1%
44.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
27.7%
27.5%
39.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Envigado have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
Independiente Santa Fe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Envigado than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Santa Fe than the current prediction. (-5.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Independiente Santa Fe, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
10%
60%
30%
Envigado - Independiente Santa Fe Predictions
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Envigado will win (votes: 1 - 10%). Santa Fe will win (votes: 3 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 60%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 29.6% – 90.4%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Escobar R. (G) 15. Cuervo S. 2. Palacios D. 29. Ramirez C. (C) 36. Murillo B. 6. Palacio J. 14. Hinestroza J. 7. Dawson D. 21. Lopez E. 26. Arcila D. 11. Garces J.
1. Mosquera A. (G) 22. Perlaza E. 3. Moreno V. 18. Olivera E. 32. Mafla C. 20. Velasquez Y. 21. Murillo E. 8. Fernandez O. 10. Zapata A. 23. Mosquera H. 11. Rodallega H. (C)
Substitutes
70. Araujo J. 34. Diaz L. 28. Gamboa Valencia J. J. 19. Londono S. 88. Mendoza J. (G) 13. Soto T. 27. Uribe N.
80. Albornoz O. 24. Angulo J. 12. Mehring A. (G) 27. Perlaza Perea Y. A. 29. Rios L. 9. Rodriguez A. 15. Scarpeta Silgado I. R.
Coaches
Orozco A.
Peirano P.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 3)
8', Cuervo S. 🟨,
11', 0 - 1, Rodallega H. ⚽, Mosquera H. (A),
14', 1 - 1, Garces J. ⚽, Palacios D. (A),
19', 1 - 2, Rodallega H. ⚽, Zapata A. (A),
36', Murillo E. 🟨,
36', Lopez E. 🟨,
45+1', 1 - 3, Rodallega H. ⚽, Mosquera H. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 4)
46', Cuervo S. ↓, Uribe N. ↑,
46', Palacio J. ↓, Araujo J. ↑,
46', Dawson D. ↓, Diaz L. ↑,
46', Murillo E. ↓, Perlaza Perea Y. A. ↑,
51', 1 - 4, Rodallega H. ⚽, Mosquera H. (A),
58', Velasquez Y. 🟨,
59', Ramirez C. 🟨,
63', Lopez E. ↓, Soto T. ↑,
64', Murillo B. 🟨,
66', Zapata A. ↓, Scarpeta Silgado I. R. ↑,
66', Mafla C. ↓, Angulo J. ↑,
67', 1 - 5, Scarpeta Silgado I. R. ⚽, Fernandez O. (A),
71', Velasquez Y. ↓, Albornoz O. ↑,
72', 1 - 6, Murillo B. (Own goal),
76', Mosquera H. ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
79', 1 - 7, Rodriguez A. (Pen),
84', Palacios D. ↓, Gamboa Valencia J. J. ↑,
Preview
Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 10 and 14).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Envigado won 1.
Recent matches Envigado is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Santa Fe is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Santa Fe could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
Last 20 head-to-head matches Envigado won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 12 matches and goals 15:33 (average 0.8:1.7).
Including matches at home between the teams Envigado won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10:11 (average 1.1:1.2).
Colombia
Mexico
South-america
Watch
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Escobar R. (G) 
Cuervo S. 
Dawson D. 
Olivera E. 
Peirano P. 
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