Match Info

COLOMBIA: Primera A - Apertura - Round 6

Date: 24 February 2025, Monday

Location: Estadio Metropolitano Roberto Meléndez (Barranquilla)

Referee: Delgado L. (Col)

Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win Sports+, Win Sports Online
Mexico	VIX+, ViX Premium
South-america	ViX Latin America


	Junior Barranquilla		Envigado

	1	X	2
	1.38	4.75	7.5	Watch
	1.37	4.4	7.4	Watch
	1.39	4.5	9.19
	1.39	4.25	8.95	Watch
	1.36	4.2	8
	1.37	4.6	8.4	Watch
	1.37	4.4	7.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↑ (1.33)	4.44 ↓ (4.68)	8.12 ↓ (8.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Junior Barranquilla
67.6%

Draw
20.9%

Envigado
11.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.4%

19.8%

10.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.5%

18.7%

10.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Junior Barranquilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Envigado has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Junior Barranquilla than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Junior Barranquilla, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Envigado than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	22.2%	0%

Junior Barranquilla - Envigado Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Junior will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Junior: 50.6% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
77. Mele S. (G) 34. Guerrero J. 66. Baez C. 4. Cuenu J. 26. Navia J. 25. Colorado A. 13. Velez Carey J. J. 99. Enamorado J. 8. Chara Y. 88. Castrillon B. 70. Bacca C.	12. Escobar R. (G) 27. Uribe N. 2. Palacios D. 29. Ramirez C. 36. Murillo B. 14. Hinestroza J. 6. Palacio J. 15. Cuervo S. 21. Lopez E. 7. Dawson D. 11. Garces J.
Substitutes
7. Barrera J. 21. Canchimbo J. 19. Cantillo C. 29. Gutierrez T. 30. Martinez J. (G) 16. Quintero Y. 23. Rodriguez S.	70. Araujo J. 28. Gamboa Valencia J. J. 19. Londono S. 16. Ramirez N. 13. Soto T. 88. Tovar A. (G) 17. Vargas A.
Coaches
Farias Acosta C. A.	Orozco A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
2', 1 - 0, Bacca C. ⚽, Castrillon B. (A),
6', 1 - 1, Garces J. ⚽, Uribe N. (A),
15', Navia J. 🟨,
29', Cuervo S. 🟨,
38', Palacios D. 🟨,
42', 1 - 2, Cuervo S. ⚽, Lopez E. (A),
45+4', Cuenu J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Navia J. ↓, Cantillo C. ↑,
47', Guerrero J. 🟨,
53', Castrillon B. 🟨,
57', Lopez E. 🟨,
59', Castrillon B. ↓, Gutierrez T. ↑,
60', Velez Carey J. J. ↓, Quintero Y. ↑,
69', Dawson D. ↓, Araujo J. ↑,
69', Enamorado J. ↓, Barrera J. ↑,
77', Lopez E. ↓, Soto T. ↑,
79', Hinestroza J. 🟨,
84', Bacca C. ↓, Rodriguez S. ↑,
84', Murillo B. 🟨,
90+3', Garces J. ↓, Vargas A. ↑,
90+3', Cuervo S. ↓, Londono S. ↑,
90+8', Londono S. 🟨,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: ) and 16).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Junior won 1.

Junior is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Envigado is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Junior is certain favorite.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Junior won 8 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 22:18 (average 1.1:0.9).

Including matches at home between the teams Junior won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11:7 (average 1.4:0.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Junior Barranquilla
Colombian Primera A
18.02.25	Boyacá Chicó - Junior Barranquilla	0:2 ✺
13.02.25	Junior Barranquilla - Once Caldas	2:0 ✺
08.02.25	Unión Magdalena - Junior Barranquilla	0:0 ✺
01.02.25	Junior Barranquilla - Rionegro Águilas	2:2 ✺
26.01.25	Junior Barranquilla - Deportivo Cali	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WWTTT
- Envigado FC
Colombian Primera A
17.02.25	Envigado - Deportivo Pasto	0:1 ✺
13.02.25	Deportivo La Equidad - Envigado	2:3 ✺
09.02.25	Envigado - Independiente Medellín	0:1 ✺
02.02.25	Deportivo Cali - Envigado	1:0 ✺
28.01.25	Fortaleza CEIF - Envigado	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.3 LWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera A
02.11.24	Envigado - Junior Barranquilla	0:0
13.04.24	Junior Barranquilla - Envigado	1:1
26.08.23	Envigado - Junior Barranquilla	1:2
12.03.23	Junior Barranquilla - Envigado	1:2
17.10.22	Envigado - Junior Barranquilla	2:0
01.05.22	Junior Barranquilla - Envigado	4:0
25.07.21	Junior Barranquilla - Envigado	1:0

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