Match Info

Date: 24 October 2020, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Ermis Aradippou		AEK Larnaca

	1	X	2
	4.75	3.75	1.61
	5.5	3.8	1.53
	6	3.7	1.48
	4.8	3.6	1.6
	6.03	3.61	1.65
	5	3.5	1.6
	5.15	3.92	1.61	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.32 ↓ (6.07)	3.7 ↓ (3.97)	1.58 ↑ (1.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ermis Aradippou
17.2%

Draw
24.8%

AEK Larnaca
57.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

15%

23%

61.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.6%

13.5%

36.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ermis Aradippou has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

AEK Larnaca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ermis Aradippou than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ermis Aradippou, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AEK Larnaca than the current prediction. (-21.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for AEK Larnaca, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Ermis Aradippou - AEK Larnaca Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 10 in the zone First Division (Relegation Group) and 4 in the zone Promotion to First Division (Championship Group)).

Ermis is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches AEK Larnaca is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match AEK Larnaca is a favorite.

Last 15 head-to-head matches Ermis won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 11-32.

Including matches at home between the teams Ermis won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 5-21.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ermis Aradippou
Cypriot First Division
17.10.20	Karmiotissa Pano Polemidion - Ermis Aradippou	0:1 ✺
04.10.20	Ermis Aradippou - APOEL	0:0 ✺
Cypriot Cup
23.09.20	Ermis Aradippou - Akritas Chlorakas	3:0 ✺
Cypriot First Division
18.09.20	Ermis Aradippou - Olympiacos Nicosia	0:1 ✺
14.09.20	Ethnikos Achna - Ermis Aradippou	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.8 WTWLW
- AEK Larnaca
Cypriot First Division
17.10.20	AEK Larnaca - Doxa Katokopias	2:0 ✺
02.10.20	Enosis Neon Paralimni - AEK Larnaca	2:1 ✺
26.09.20	AEK Larnaca - AEL Limassol	2:1 ✺
Cypriot Cup
23.09.20	Kouris Erimi - AEK Larnaca	0:11 ✺
Cypriot First Division
20.09.20	Omonia - AEK Larnaca	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Cypriot First Division
13.01.19	AEK Larnaca - Ermis Aradippou	2:2
07.10.18	Ermis Aradippou - AEK Larnaca	1:2
17.12.17	AEK Larnaca - Ermis Aradippou	1:1
11.09.17	Ermis Aradippou - AEK Larnaca	0:4
26.02.17	Ermis Aradippou - AEK Larnaca	2:3
26.11.16	AEK Larnaca - Ermis Aradippou	1:0
02.03.16	Ermis Aradippou - AEK Larnaca	0:3

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ermis Aradippou
Cypriot Division 2
30.10.26	Ermis Aradippou - Anagennisi Dherynia	✺
- AEK Larnaca
Cypriot First Division
31.10.26	Krasava Ypsonas - AEK Larnaca	✺

Ermis Aradippou - AEK Larnaca