Match Info

1. Lig - Round 19

Date: 27 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Pendik Stadyumu (Istanbul)

Referee: Aksu O. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Tabii, TRT Spor


	Pendikspor		Erokspor

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.25	3.25	Watch
	2.04	3.37	3.28
	1.97	3.71	3.43	Watch
	2.15	3.25	3.25
	2.12	3.35	3.35	Watch
	2.05	3.25	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↓ (2.07)	3.36 ↓ (3.48)	3.33 ↑ (3.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pendikspor
44.8%

Draw
27.5%

Erokspor
27.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.9%

26.7%

28.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6%

26.9%

28.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pendikspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Erokspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pendikspor than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Erokspor than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

Pendikspor - Erokspor Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Pendikspor will win (votes: 6 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Pendikspor: 45% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Pendikspor (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 0.5, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Dilmen D. (G) 21. Maldar H. 88. Fidan Y. 5. Sulungoz B. 4. Soldo V. 66. Dogan F. 60. Karadeniz B. 41. Ozdemir M. (C) 8. Denic D. 10. Wilks M. 9. Clarke-Harris J.	34. Cetin E. (G) 17. Korkmaz E. 15. Nzaba F. 14. Ulas O. 33. Alic E. 5. Okyar M. 8. Karaman A. (C) 11. Faye M. 4. Kacar T. 89. Amilton 10. Kayode O.
Substitutes
18. Akman H. 12. Bitin G. 99. Demirbag O. 17. Karademir A. 34. Rogerio Thuram 20. Safin E. 81. Tekdal T. 77. Ugur A. 14. Yesil H. 97. Yuvakuran U. (G)	7. Catakovic H. 80. Genc M. 23. Hidayetoglu A. 78. Isik E. 73. Lus B. 20. Niyaz R. 44. Oral E. A. (G) 1. Tetik B. (G) 16. Yasar A. 30. Yucer Y.
Coaches
Ucar U.	Ozkoylu O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
33', Korkmaz E. 🟨,
38', Dogan F. 🟨,
41', Nzaba F. 🟨,
45+1', Okyar M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
56', Soldo V. 🟨,
58', Dogan F. ↓, Yesil H. ↑,
62', Alic E. 🟨,
63', Fidan Y. 🟨,
63', Faye M. 🟨,
72', Karaman A. ↓, Niyaz R. ↑,
72', Clarke-Harris J. ↓, Rogerio Thuram ↑,
78', Faye M. ↓, Lus B. ↑,
82', Denic D. ↓, Bitin G. ↑,
84', Nzaba F. ↓, Catakovic H. ↑,
88', Ozdemir M. 🟨,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Super Lig and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Pendikspor may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Pendikspor will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Pendikspor: Akbaba B. (Inactive) Cicek E. (Suspended) Colak M. (Inactive) Isen B. (Suspended) Mulele Lomboto A. (Inactive) Yesil H. (Suspended)

There will not play in Erokspor: Cavare D. (Red Card) Cetin E. (Suspended) Gedik E. (Suspended) Isik E. (Suspended) Kahveci M. (Suspended) Kanga G. (International duty) Tetik B. (Suspended)

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Pendikspor won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:6. (average 1:3).

Including home match between the teams, Pendikspor won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Pendikspor - the odds 2.07 are the expected chance of winning is 44.89%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pendikspor
Turkish First League
20.12.25	Boluspor - Pendikspor	1:2 ✺
14.12.25	Pendikspor - Igdirspor	1:1 ✺
08.12.25	Çorum - Pendikspor	2:0 ✺
Turkish Cup
02.12.25	Çaykur Rizespor - Pendikspor	6:1 ✺
Turkish First League
28.11.25	Pendikspor - Manisa FK	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WTLLW
- Erokspor
Turkish First League
19.12.25	Erokspor - Sarıyer	1:1 ✺
14.12.25	Keçiörengücü - Erokspor	1:1 ✺
06.12.25	Erokspor - Sakaryaspor	4:1 ✺
Turkish Cup
03.12.25	Erokspor - Fatih Karagümrükspor	2:5 ✺
Turkish First League
28.11.25	Amed SK - Erokspor	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 TTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Turkish First League
23.02.25	Pendikspor - Erokspor	2:2
29.09.24	Erokspor - Pendikspor	4:0

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