Match Info

1. Lig - Round 25

Date: 13 February 2026, Friday

Location: Esenler Stadium (Istanbul)

Referee: Ergun O. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, Tabii Spor 6, Tabii, TRT Spor


	Erokspor		Manisa FK

	1	X	2
	1.42	4.1	5.75	Watch
	1.41	4.56	6.18	Watch
	1.44	4.74	7.43
	1.45	4.52	6.37	Watch
	1.44	4.33	5.5
	1.49	4.3	6.03	Watch
	1.4	4.33	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↑ (1.37)	4.41 ↓ (4.7)	6.32 ↓ (6.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Erokspor
64.4%

Draw
21%

Manisa FK
14.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67%

19.5%

13.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.8%

18.2%

12.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Erokspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Manisa FK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Erokspor than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Erokspor, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manisa FK than the current prediction. (-2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	16.7%	0%

Erokspor - Manisa FK Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Erokspor will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
34. Cetin E. (G) 77. Bilazer H. 15. Nzaba F. 14. Ulas O. 33. Alic E. 5. Okyar M. 89. Amilton 99. Beyaz O. 12. Kanga G. 11. Faye M. 10. Kayode O. (C)	1. Karakus V. (G) 45. Karapo A. 4. Herelle C. 13. Ibik A. 27. Gureler Y. 60. Toure B. (C) 25. Cissokho M. 20. Benrahou Y. 7. Vargas A. 9. Diony L. 19. Erdem U.
Substitutes
7. Catakovic H. 97. Cavare D. 19. Gedik E. 6. Jack R. 4. Kacar T. 8. Karaman A. 17. Korkmaz E. 73. Lus B. 20. Niyaz R. 1. Tetik B. (G)	21. Akboga E. 99. Basar M. (G) 22. Bodur S. (G) 77. Can Aslan U. 80. Colak B. 24. Dursun Y. 17. Kahraman O. 23. Kiprit M. 65. Sen A. 8. Sonmez K.
Coaches
Ozkoylu O.	Dalci M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
2', 0 - 1, Diony L. ⚽,
9', Gureler Y. ↓, Kiprit M. ↑,
13', Faye M. 🟨,
18', Karakus V. ↓, Bodur S. ↑,
26', 1 - 1, Kayode O. ⚽,
36', Kiprit M. ↓, Kahraman O. ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
61', Beyaz O. ↓, Niyaz R. ↑,
64', 2 - 1, Kayode O. ⚽, Niyaz R. (A),
66', Kanga G. 🟨,
66', Benrahou Y. 🟨,
66', Herelle C. 🟨,
72', Kanga G. ↓, Karaman A. ↑,
81', Kayode O. ↓, Catakovic H. ↑,
81', Amilton ↓, Lus B. ↑,
89', 3 - 1, Faye M. ⚽, Catakovic H. (A),

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final) and 12).

Erokspor is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Manisa is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Erokspor is the clear favorite.

There will not play in Manisa: Adekanye B. (Red Card) Lindseth J. (Yellow Cards) Talum Y. (Yellow Cards)

We predict that Erokspor will win today's game, with odds of 1.42.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Erokspor won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 2:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Erokspor won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Manisa FK	8	2	3	3	12:12	0	9
17	Erokspor	8	0	5	3	4:10	-6	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Erokspor
Turkish First League
07.02.26	Hatayspor - Erokspor	0:5 ✺
02.02.26	Erokspor - Umraniyespor	1:0 ✺
24.01.26	Serik Belediyespor - Erokspor	0:3 ✺
17.01.26	Erokspor - Vanspor	0:0 ✺
10.01.26	Adana Demirspor - Erokspor	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WWWTW
- Manisa FK
Turkish First League
08.02.26	Manisa FK - Boluspor	4:1 ✺
31.01.26	Igdirspor - Manisa FK	0:0 ✺
25.01.26	Manisa FK - İstanbulspor	1:0 ✺
17.01.26	Hatayspor - Manisa FK	2:2 ✺
12.01.26	Manisa FK - Umraniyespor	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 WTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Turkish First League
20.09.25	Manisa FK - Erokspor	3:4
08.03.25	Erokspor - Manisa FK	1:1
28.10.24	Manisa FK - Erokspor	0:1

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