Match Info

1. Lig - Round 30

Date: 12 March 2026, Thursday

Location: Esenler Stadium (Istanbul)

Referee: Demirbas A. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Tabii, TRT Spor


	Erokspor		Bandırmaspor

	1	X	2
	1.38	4.1	6.5	Watch
	1.42	4.19	6.69
	1.42	4.52	7.68
	1.44	4.44	6.57	Watch
	1.4	4	7
	1.42	4.48	7.1	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↓ (1.59)	4.29 ↑ (3.95)	6.92 ↑ (4.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Erokspor
65.2%

Draw
21.5%

Bandırmaspor
13.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.1%

23.4%

18.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62%

21.9%

17.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Erokspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Erokspor's performance.

Bandırmaspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bandırmaspor might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Erokspor than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bandırmaspor than the current prediction. (+4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Erokspor - Bandırmaspor Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.25 - Bandırmaspor (1.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Erokspor will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Bandırmaspor (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
34. Cetin E. (G) 77. Bilazer H. 97. Cavare D. 14. Ulas O. 33. Alic E. 20. Niyaz R. 5. Okyar M. 89. Amilton 99. Beyaz O. 11. Faye M. 10. Kayode O. (C)	16. Alkan A. (G) 27. Alici K. 6. Ciftci H. 33. Nukan A. (C) 34. Aydin E. 92. Mulumba R. 10. Gumuskaya M. 7. Fall M. 24. Amaral J. 9. Kehinde T. 99. Douglas Tanque
Substitutes
7. Catakovic H. 19. Gedik E. 6. Jack R. 12. Kanga G. 8. Karaman A. 17. Korkmaz E. 73. Lus B. 15. Nzaba F. 44. Oral E. A. (G) 1. Tetik B. (G)	30. Acar E. 53. Albayrak M. 29. Badji A. 2. Ceylan O. 8. Cinemre E. 88. Esendemir Y. 22. Midilic Y. 17. Ndongala D. 1. Ozcimen A. (G) 20. Parmak A.
Coaches
Ozkoylu O.	Gursel M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
9', Alkan A. 🟥,
12', Fall M. ↓, Ozcimen A. ↑,
14', 1 - 0, Kayode O. ⚽, Niyaz R. (A),
45+6', Okyar M. 🟨,
45+9', 1 - 1, Douglas Tanque (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Kehinde T. ↓, Badji A. ↑,
53', Niyaz R. 🟨,
63', Beyaz O. ↓, Kanga G. ↑,
63', Okyar M. ↓, Jack R. ↑,
70', Amaral J. 🟨,
70', Amaral J. ↓, Parmak A. ↑,
75', Amilton ↓, Catakovic H. ↑,
75', Niyaz R. ↓, Lus B. ↑,
78', Aydin E. ↓, Ceylan O. ↑,
78', Gumuskaya M. ↓, Albayrak M. ↑,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Super Lig and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Erokspor has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Bandırmaspor has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Erokspor is the obvious favorite.

There will not play in Erokspor: Amilton (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Bandırmaspor: Celibkay T. (Inactive) Kalender T. (Eye injury)

There are questionable in Bandırmaspor: Akyazi K. (Injury) Burgaz G. (Injury) Hountondji C. (Injury)

We predict that Erokspor will win today's game, with odds of 1.38.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Erokspor won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.3:0.7).

Including home match between the teams, Erokspor won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Bandirmaspor	8	2	4	2	12:5	7	10
17	Erokspor	8	0	5	3	4:10	-6	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Erokspor
Turkish First League
08.03.26	Bodrumspor - Erokspor	3:4 ✺
27.02.26	Erokspor - Boluspor	2:0 ✺
21.02.26	Igdirspor - Erokspor	0:3 ✺
17.02.26	İstanbulspor - Erokspor	1:4 ✺
13.02.26	Erokspor - Manisa FK	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WWWWW
- Bandırmaspor
Turkish First League
07.03.26	Bandırmaspor - İstanbulspor	1:0 ✺
01.03.26	Umraniyespor - Bandırmaspor	1:2 ✺
22.02.26	Bandırmaspor - Hatayspor	4:0 ✺
18.02.26	Manisa FK - Bandırmaspor	3:2 ✺
14.02.26	Bandırmaspor - Serik Belediyespor	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Turkish First League
26.10.25	Bandırmaspor - Erokspor	0:0
27.04.25	Bandırmaspor - Erokspor	1:0
22.12.24	Erokspor - Bandırmaspor	1:1

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