Match Info

1. Lig - Round 27

Date: 21 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Iğdır Şehir Stadyumu (Iğdır)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Tabii, TRT Spor


	Igdirspor		Erokspor

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.3	2.55	Watch
	2.48	3.39	2.53
	2.57	3.55	2.6
	2.51	3.56	2.56	Watch
	2.5	3.25	2.6
	2.46	3.3	2.5
	2.42	3.4	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.49 ↑ (2.4)	3.39 ↓ (3.48)	2.56 ↓ (2.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Igdirspor
36.9%

Draw
27.1%

Erokspor
35.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.2%

26.3%

35.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.5%

26.5%

35.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Igdirspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Erokspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Igdirspor than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Erokspor than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	60%	40%

Igdirspor - Erokspor Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Erokspor will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
54. Tepe T. (G) 8. Bacuna L. 35. Cankaya A. R. 5. Ozturk A. (C) 3. Tsunami 21. Erdogan D. 2. Yalcin R. 58. Kaya G. 10. Loshaj F. 7. Fofana M. 9. Bruno G.	34. Cetin E. (G) 77. Bilazer H. 15. Nzaba F. 14. Ulas O. 33. Alic E. 5. Okyar M. 89. Amilton 6. Jack R. (C) 20. Niyaz R. 11. Faye M. 7. Catakovic H.
Substitutes
26. Bolat S. (G) 14. Doh M. 17. Engin A. 6. Guctekin O. K. 23. Guneren A. K. 55. Koita F. 20. Mendes R. 4. Selvi A. 77. Vural G. 66. Yasar A.	99. Beyaz O. 97. Cavare D. 19. Gedik E. 12. Kanga G. 8. Karaman A. 10. Kayode O. 17. Korkmaz E. 73. Lus B. 44. Oral E. A. (G) 1. Tetik B. (G)
Coaches
Kocak K.	Ozkoylu O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
10', 0 - 1, Catakovic H. ⚽, Amilton (A),
36', Ozturk A. 🟨,
43', Cankaya A. R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Bacuna L. ↓, Doh M. ↑,
46', Loshaj F. ↓, Mendes R. ↑,
46', Bruno G. ↓, Koita F. ↑,
54', 0 - 2, Faye M. ⚽, Okyar M. (A),
61', Jack R. ↓, Beyaz O. ↑,
64', Niyaz R. 🟨,
69', Ozturk A. ↓, Vural G. ↑,
70', Amilton ↓, Lus B. ↑,
70', Catakovic H. ↓, Kayode O. ↑,
77', Cankaya A. R. ↓, Engin A. ↑,
78', Niyaz R. ↓, Karaman A. ↑,
79', 0 - 3, Nzaba F. ⚽,
90+1', Tsunami 🟨,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Super Lig).

Igdirspor is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Erokspor is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Igdirspor won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 1.7:2.3).

Including home match between the teams, Igdirspor won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Igdir FK	8	5	1	2	12:7	5	16
17	Erokspor	8	0	5	3	4:10	-6	5

Last Results with these Odds

Erokspor - the odds 2.57 are the expected chance of winning is 35.55%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Igdirspor
Turkish First League
17.02.26	Hatayspor - Igdirspor	0:2 ✺
13.02.26	Igdirspor - Umraniyespor	1:1 ✺
08.02.26	Serik Belediyespor - Igdirspor	1:3 ✺
Turkish Cup
03.02.26	Igdirspor - Antalyaspor	6:0 ✺
Turkish First League
31.01.26	Igdirspor - Manisa FK	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WTWWT
- Erokspor
Turkish First League
17.02.26	İstanbulspor - Erokspor	1:4 ✺
13.02.26	Erokspor - Manisa FK	3:1 ✺
07.02.26	Hatayspor - Erokspor	0:5 ✺
02.02.26	Erokspor - Umraniyespor	1:0 ✺
24.01.26	Serik Belediyespor - Erokspor	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Turkish First League
27.09.25	Erokspor - Igdirspor	2:3
12.02.25	Erokspor - Igdirspor	3:1
15.09.24	Igdirspor - Erokspor	1:2

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