Match Info

1. Lig - Round 24

Date: 8 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Mumin Ozkasap Stadyumu (Manisa)

Referee: Metoglu M. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 MAX, Tabii, TRT Spor


	Manisa FK		Boluspor

	1	X	2
	2.63	3.2	2.38	Watch
	2.65	3.3	2.25
	2.72	3.19	2.43	Watch
	2.83	3.45	2.5
	2.7	3.49	2.43	Watch
	2.7	3.2	2.4
	2.69	3.15	2.38
	2.8	3.2	2.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.72 ↓ (3.06)	3.27 ↓ (3.31)	2.39 ↑ (2.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Manisa FK
33.7%

Draw
28%

Boluspor
38.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.3%

28%

41.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.9%

26.6%

39.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Manisa FK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Boluspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manisa FK than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boluspor than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Manisa FK - Boluspor Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Karakus V. (G) 45. Karapo A. 4. Herelle C. 27. Gureler Y. 19. Erdem U. 60. Toure B. (C) 7. Vargas A. 10. Lindseth J. 20. Benrahou Y. 2. Talum Y. 9. Diony L.	91. Dirdiroglu T. (G) 2. Artan O. 35. Akkan G. 28. Kouagba L. 3. Lima L. (C) 80. Balburdia M. 8. Lico D. 7. Alici B. 17. Davas D. 61. Akanbi R. 9. Usluoglu A.
Substitutes
11. Adekanye B. 21. Akboga E. 22. Bodur S. (G) 77. Can Aslan U. 25. Cissokho M. 24. Dursun Y. 13. Ibik A. 23. Kiprit M. 65. Sen A. 8. Sonmez K.	34. Alpsoy H. 20. Cayli M. A. 4. Cetin M. 81. Kazanci E. 14. Kirim A. 22. Kulbilge B. (G) 23. Midilic A. 33. Saygi A. 5. Senyurt D. 77. Uresin A.
Coaches
Dalci M.	Gunes E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
9', 1 - 0, Karapo A. ⚽, Talum Y. (A),
36', Diony L. (Penalty Awarded),
39', 1 - 1, Akanbi R. ⚽, Balburdia M. (A),
2nd Half (3 - 0)
53', 2 - 1, Diony L. ⚽, Karapo A. (A),
59', Talum Y. 🟨,
63', Balburdia M. 🟥,
68', Lindseth J. 🟨,
70', Karapo A. 🟨,
71', Lima L. 🟨,
72', Alici B. ↓, Senyurt D. ↑,
79', Akkan G. 🟨,
81', Benrahou Y. ↓, Cissokho M. ↑,
81', 3 - 1, Cissokho M. ⚽, Vargas A. (A),
88', 4 - 1, Diony L. ⚽, Talum Y. (A),
89', 🟨,
89', Talum Y. ↓, Kiprit M. ↑,
90', Gureler Y. ↓, Ibik A. ↑,
90+3', Toure B. ↓, Sonmez K. ↑,
90+3', Lindseth J. ↓, Sen A. ↑,
90+3', Davas D. ↓, Cayli M. A. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 12 and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Manisa won 1.

Manisa is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Boluspor is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Boluspor may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Boluspor: Kalburcu I. (Suspended) Oztonga O. (Injury) Uresin A. (Suspended)

There are questionable in Boluspor: Arslan K. (Injury)

We predict that Manisa will win today's game, with odds of 2.75.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Manisa won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 6:14. (average 0.7:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Manisa won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 0.8:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Manisa FK	8	2	3	3	12:12	0	9
20	Boluspor	8	0	1	7	3:20	-17	1

Last Results with these Odds

Manisa FK - the odds 3.06 are the expected chance of winning is 30.33%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Manisa FK
Turkish First League
31.01.26	Igdirspor - Manisa FK	0:0 ✺
25.01.26	Manisa FK - İstanbulspor	1:0 ✺
17.01.26	Hatayspor - Manisa FK	2:2 ✺
12.01.26	Manisa FK - Umraniyespor	1:0 ✺
26.12.25	Sakaryaspor - Manisa FK	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 TWTWW
- Boluspor
Turkish Cup
04.02.26	Boluspor - Alanyaspor	0:4 ✺
Turkish First League
01.02.26	Boluspor - Sakaryaspor	2:0 ✺
24.01.26	Keçiörengücü - Boluspor	5:1 ✺
18.01.26	Boluspor - Sarıyer	1:2 ✺
Turkish Cup
13.01.26	İstanbul Başakşehir - Boluspor	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Turkish First League
13.09.25	Boluspor - Manisa FK	2:0
21.02.25	Manisa FK - Boluspor	0:2
28.09.24	Boluspor - Manisa FK	2:0
05.05.24	Manisa FK - Boluspor	1:0
21.12.23	Boluspor - Manisa FK	1:0
14.01.23	Boluspor - Manisa FK	3:1
13.08.22	Manisa FK - Boluspor	0:1

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