Match Info

Premier League - Round 1

Date: 7 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadion Kazhymukan Munaitpasov (Šymkent)

Referee: Iskakov M. (Kaz)


	Ordabasy		Ertis Pavlodar

	1	X	2
	1.6	3.8	4.95	Watch
	1.6	3.94	4.67
	1.57	4.19	4.69	Watch
	1.57	3.6	5
	1.58	3.99	5.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (1.85)	3.9 ↑ (3.53)	4.98 ↑ (4.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ordabasy
58%

Draw
23.5%

Ertis Pavlodar
18.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.4%

26.4%

23.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ordabasy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ordabasy's performance.

Ertis Pavlodar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Ordabasy - Ertis Pavlodar Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Shayzada B. (G) 11. Vakulko Y. 25. Maliy S. (C) 14. Turganov A. 22. Astanov S. 16. Capatina M. 23. Khalmatov M. 5. Antic N. 9. Everton 10. Astanov E. 45. Mitkov D.	16. Botnar V. (G) 27. Nechaev D. 26. Mbodj M. 33. Ibrahim F. 22. Stephen G. 8. Zharynbetov S. 9. Omatay M. 7. Klimovich V. 98. Sedko P. 18. Shvyrev V. 11. Fedin M. (C)
Substitutes
24. Abdukhalyk A. (G) 55. Amanovic A. 15. Amir Z. 3. Kilama G. 7. Naumets V. 17. Sultaniyazov Z. 20. Toktybay M. 13. Tolepbergen K. (G)	10. Agimanov T. . Baybosynov N. . Karimov R. 3. Khadarkevich R. 19. Popov A. 14. Raskatov V. 1. Rikhard M. (G) 6. Shimamura Y. 5. Toleuov B. 71. Turlybek M. 20. Usenov A.
Coaches
Martin A.	Alshevskiy K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
9', 0 - 1, Fedin M. ⚽, Mbodj M. (A),
16', Khalmatov M. 🟨,
35', 1 - 1, Everton ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
61', Capatina M. ↓, Amanovic A. ↑,
64', 1 - 2, Sedko P. ⚽,
69', Sedko P. ↓, Agimanov T. ↑,
73', Turganov A. ↓, Kilama G. ↑,
73', Everton ↓, Naumets V. ↑,
74', Khalmatov M. ↓, Amir Z. ↑,
77', Zharynbetov S. ↓, Khadarkevich R. ↑,
79', Mitkov D. ↓, Toktybay M. ↑,
84', Fedin M. ↓, Baybosynov N. ↑,
85', Shvyrev V. ↓, Turlybek M. ↑,
85', Omatay M. ↓, Raskatov V. ↑,
90+2', 2 - 2, Astanov E. ⚽,
90+4', Klimovich V. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ordabasy won 4.

In this match, Ordabasy is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ordabasy won 11 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 26:21. (average 1.3:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Ordabasy won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 17:12. (average 1.4:1).

Outrights of Kazakh Premier League for now

Ordabasy: 69.49%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Ordabasy	26	19	4	3	51:18	33	61
11	Ertis Pavlodar	25	6	8	11	26:34	-8	26

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Ordabasy
Club Friendly
05.02.26	Baltika Kaliningrad - Ordabasy	0:0 ✺
Kazakh Premier League
26.10.25	Aktobe - Ordabasy	2:2 ✺
19.10.25	Ordabasy - Okzhetpes	7:1 ✺
Kazakh Cup
04.10.25	Ordabasy - Tobol Kostanay	0:2 ✺
Kazakh Premier League
28.09.25	Yelimay Semey - Ordabasy	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 TTWLL
- Ertis Pavlodar
Kazakh First League
24.10.25	Batyr Ekibastuz - Ertis Pavlodar	1:2 ✺
17.10.25	Altai Semey - Ertis Pavlodar	1:1 ✺
03.10.25	Ertis Pavlodar - Khan Tengri	7:1 ✺
25.09.25	SD Family - Ertis Pavlodar	2:7 ✺
12.09.25	Kaspiy Aktau - Ertis Pavlodar	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh Premier League
26.10.19	Ordabasy - Ertis Pavlodar	2:0
28.07.19	Ordabasy - Ertis Pavlodar	1:0
11.05.19	Ertis Pavlodar - Ordabasy	0:2
22.09.18	Ordabasy - Ertis Pavlodar	0:2
15.07.18	Ertis Pavlodar - Ordabasy	1:2
05.05.18	Ordabasy - Ertis Pavlodar	1:0
24.09.17	Ordabasy - Ertis Pavlodar	1:2

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