Match Info

Premier League - Round 3

Date: 20 March 2026, Friday

Location: Karasai Stadium (Petropavl)

Referee: Kuchma A. (Kaz)


	Kyzylzhar		Ertis Pavlodar

	1	X	2
	2.22	3	3.15	Watch
	2.25	3.1	3.48
	2.38	3.11	2.9	Watch
	2.15	2.9	3.2
	2.23	3.22	3.22	Watch
	2.54	2.66	2.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↓ (2.61)	3 ↑ (2.64)	3.13 ↑ (3.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kyzylzhar
40%

Draw
30.6%

Ertis Pavlodar
29.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.3%

34.9%

29.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kyzylzhar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Ertis Pavlodar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Kyzylzhar - Ertis Pavlodar Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Celeadnic D. (G) 23. Piscevic N. 25. Galabov P. 22. Kozlenko A. 71. Sokolenko A. 19. Krajisnik D. 88. Pertsukh Y. 8. Makarenko E. (C) 47. Gomis H. 10. Bjartalid J. 99. Beugre E.	16. Botnar V. (G) 27. Nechaev D. 26. Mbodj M. 4. Khadarkevich R. 22. Stephen G. 98. Sedko P. 9. Omatay M. 8. Zharynbetov S. (C) 7. Klimovich V. 10. Agimanov T. 18. Shvyrev V.
Substitutes
9. Adil A. 11. Cheredinov A. 28. Chirkov R. 17. Eleukin M. 39. Erniyazov S. (G) 27. Gubarev N. 7. Muldinov T. 32. Petrov V. (G) 14. Serikbay A. 5. Slambekov D. 79. Valgushev G.	13. Baybosynov N. 21. Buranchiev A. 11. Fedin M. 12. Karimov R. 19. Popov A. 14. Raskatov V. 1. Rikhard M. (G) 6. Shimamura Y. 5. Toleuov B. 17. Turlybek M.
Coaches
Curcic M.	Alshevskiy K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
10', Kozlenko A. 🟨,
21', Agimanov T. 🟨,
27', Pertsukh Y. 🟥,
45+2', Makarenko E. ↓, Slambekov D. ↑,
45+5', Agimanov T. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', Makarenko E. ↓, Slambekov D. ↑,
55', 1 - 0, Muldinov T. ⚽, Krajisnik D. (A),
56', Valgushev G. ↓, Adil A. ↑,
60', Sedko P. ↓, Baybosynov N. ↑,
61', Omatay M. ↓, Fedin M. ↑,
64', Celeadnic D. 🟨,
67', 1 - 1, Mbodj M. ⚽, Shvyrev V. (A),
70', 2 - 1, Beugre E. ⚽,
76', Shvyrev V. ↓, Turlybek M. ↑,
77', Klimovich V. ↓, Shimamura Y. ↑,
87', 2 - 2, Turlybek M. ⚽,
88', Adil A. ↓, Cheredinov A. ↑,
88', Gomis H. ↓, Gubarev N. ↑,
90+2', Zharynbetov S. ↓, Buranchiev A. ↑,
90+4', Nechaev D. 🟨,

Preview

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Kyzylzhar won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:6. (average 0.8:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Kyzylzhar won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Ertis Pavlodar	25	6	8	11	26:34	-8	26
14	Kyzylzhar	26	6	6	14	26:40	-14	24

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Kyzylzhar
Kazakh Premier League
16.03.26	Ulytau - Kyzylzhar	1:0 ✺
08.03.26	Kyzylzhar - Kaspiy Aktau	2:1 ✺
26.10.25	Zhetysu - Kyzylzhar	0:1 ✺
17.10.25	Kyzylzhar - Kairat	0:1 ✺
27.09.25	Aktobe - Kyzylzhar	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LWWLL
- Ertis Pavlodar
Kazakh Premier League
16.03.26	Ertis Pavlodar - Atyrau	1:1 ✺
07.03.26	Ordabasy - Ertis Pavlodar	2:2 ✺
Kazakh First League
24.10.25	Batyr Ekibastuz - Ertis Pavlodar	1:2 ✺
17.10.25	Altai Semey - Ertis Pavlodar	1:1 ✺
03.10.25	Ertis Pavlodar - Khan Tengri	7:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 TTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh Premier League
14.03.20	Ertis Pavlodar - Kyzylzhar	1:1
16.09.18	Ertis Pavlodar - Kyzylzhar	0:1
05.08.18	Kyzylzhar - Ertis Pavlodar	1:0
19.05.18	Ertis Pavlodar - Kyzylzhar	5:0

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