Match Info

First League - Round 11

Date: 26 June 2026, Friday


	Taraz		Shakhter Karagandy

	1	X	2
	4.75	4.20	1.50
	5.15	4.25	1.48
	4.90	4.35	1.40
	6.92	6.53	1.26	Watch
	4.10	3.85	1.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.16 ↓ (8.34)	4.64 ↓ (5.77)	1.44 ↑ (1.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Taraz
17.5%

Draw
19.5%

Shakhter Karagandy
62.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

11%

15.9%

73.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Taraz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Taraz's performance.

Shakhter Karagandy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Shakhter Karagandy might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
9', 0 - 1, Migunov A. ⚽, Vasilchenko D. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
49', 0 - 2, Litosh A. ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 6 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Taraz won 3.

Taraz has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Shakhter Karagandy is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Shakhter Karagandy may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Shakhter Karagandy is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Taraz won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 24:22. (average 1.2:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Taraz won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 21:12. (average 1.8:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Shakhter Karagandy ✔	24	21	2	1	66:8	58	65
7	Taraz	23	8	6	9	30:32	-2	30

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Taraz
Kazakh First League
19.06.26	Khan Tengri - Taraz	2:1 ✺
11.06.26	Taraz - Astana 2	1:2 ✺
27.05.26	Tobol 2 - Taraz	3:3 ✺
22.05.26	Taraz - Arys	2:1 ✺
14.05.26	Turan Turkistan - Taraz	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LLTWW
- Shakhter Karagandy
Kazakh First League
19.06.26	Shakhter Karagandy - Jaiyq	3:0 ✺
12.06.26	Khan Tengri - Shakhter Karagandy	0:2 ✺
26.05.26	Shakhter Karagandy - Yelimay 2	1:0 ✺
21.05.26	Astana 2 - Shakhter Karagandy	4:3 ✺
15.05.26	Shakhter Karagandy - Aktobe 2	7:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh First League
03.10.25	Shakhter Karagandy - Taraz	2:0
04.07.25	Taraz - Shakhter Karagandy	4:0
Kazakh Premier League
04.09.22	Shakhter Karagandy - Taraz	1:0
Kazakh Cup
31.08.22	Taraz - Shakhter Karagandy	2:1 penalties
Kazakh Premier League
17.04.22	Taraz - Shakhter Karagandy	2:1
Kazakh Cup
27.10.21	Shakhter Karagandy - Taraz	3:1
22.09.21	Taraz - Shakhter Karagandy	0:0

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