Match Info

ALBANIA: Kategoria e Parë - Round 16

Date: 18 December 2024, Wednesday

Location: Demrozi Stadium (Rrogozhinë)


	Erzeni		Pogradeci

	1	X	2
	4.1	3.25	1.81
	3.67	3.4	1.85
	4.05	3.41	1.82	Watch
	3.75	3.3	1.8
	4.54	3.16	1.78
	4.1	3.25	1.81
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.04 ↑ (4)	3.3 ↑ (3)	1.81 ↓ (1.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Erzeni
22.5%

Draw
27.5%

Pogradeci
50%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.7%

30.3%

47%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.8%

29.1%

49%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Erzeni has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Pogradeci has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Erzeni than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pogradeci than the current prediction. (-1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
5.4%	5.4%	89.2%

Erzeni - Pogradeci Predictions

Users Predictions: Pogradeci will win (33 of 37 users predict this - 89.19%).
Confidence interval (95%): 79.18% – 99.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
8', 0 - 1, Alidemaj F. ⚽,
15', 0 - 2, Alidemaj F. ⚽,
43', 1 - 2, Bespallov K. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KF Erzeni
Albanian First Division
08.12.24	Korabi Peshkopi - Erzeni	1:1 ✺
Albanian Cup
20.11.24	Erzeni - Valbona	2:1 ✺
Albanian First Division
09.11.24	Erzeni - Kukësi	0:1 ✺
03.11.24	Erzeni - Vora	0:1 ✺
20.10.24	Erzeni - Besa Kavajë	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 TWLLT
- KS Pogradeci
Albanian First Division
09.12.24	Pogradeci - Burreli	0:2 ✺
02.12.24	Besa Kavajë - Pogradeci	0:0 ✺
25.11.24	Pogradeci - Lushnja	1:0 ✺
Albanian Cup
20.11.24	Kukësi - Pogradeci	2:1 ✺
Albanian First Division
09.11.24	Kastrioti - Pogradeci	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 LTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Albanian First Division
21.09.24	Pogradeci - Erzeni	0:0

Erzeni - Pogradeci: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide