The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Erzgebirge Aue 28.6%
Draw 26.1%
Dynamo Dresden 45.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
34.5%
26.6%
38.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
34.3%
26.5%
39%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Erzgebirge Aue has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Erzgebirge Aue's form might have worsened.
Dynamo Dresden has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Dynamo Dresden's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Erzgebirge Aue than the current prediction. (+5.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Erzgebirge Aue, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dynamo Dresden than the current prediction. (-6.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Dynamo Dresden, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
25%
0%
75%
Erzgebirge Aue - Dynamo Dresden Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Aue will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Dynamo Dresden will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Confidence interval (95%) for Dynamo Dresden: 45% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Mannel M. (G) 21. Burghardt M. 23. Barylla A. 19. Hoffmann T. 26. Jakob K. 10. Pepic M. 13. Majetschak E. 8. Clausen M. 14. Tashchy B. 34. Stefaniak M. 15. Bar M.
1. Schreiber T. (G) 15. Kammerknecht C. 17. Casar A. 29. Boeder L. 10. Lemmer J. 5. Sapina V. 27. Hauptmann N. (C) 16. Heise P. 24. Menzel T. 21. Meissner R. 33. Daferner C.
Substitutes
9. Bornschein R. 20. Fabisch J. 17. Fallmann P. 18. Kallenbach W. 25. Kips T. (G) 6. Loune A. 24. Nkansah S. 7. Seitz S. 11. Sijaric O.
7. Batista Meier O. 34. Bogdanov D. 23. Bunning L. 39. Kubatta D. 30. Kutschke S. 14. Lehmann P. 26. Marx J. H. 37. Mesenholer D. (G) 25. Oehmichen J.
Coaches
Dotchev P.
Stamm T.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Pepic M. ⚽, Stefaniak M. (A),
9', 2 - 0, Stefaniak M. ⚽, Clausen M. (A),
23', Jakob K. 🟨,
44', Burghardt M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
57', Daferner C. ↓, Kutschke S. ↑,
57', Hauptmann N. ↓, Batista Meier O. ↑,
57', Boeder L. ↓, Bunning L. ↑,
57', Sapina V. ↓, Oehmichen J. ↑,
65', Menzel T. 🟨,
65', Clausen M. ↓, Sijaric O. ↑,
65', Burghardt M. ↓, Fallmann P. ↑,
69', Kutschke S. 🟨,
76', Oehmichen J. 🟨,
80', Casar A. 🟨,
80', Meissner R. ↓, Bogdanov D. ↑,
80', Majetschak E. ↓, Loune A. ↑,
80', Bar M. ↓, Bornschein R. ↑,
82', Stefaniak M. 🟨,
83', Kutschke S. 🟨,
88', 🟨,
89', Stefaniak M. ↓, Seitz S. ↑,
Preview
Last 5 head-to-head matches Aue won 2.
The game of competitors is shaky now.
Recently Aue have a series of home games.
Dynamo Dresden will have a poor advantage in this game.
Last 20 head-to-head matches Aue won 6 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 23-25.
Including matches at home between the teams Aue won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 11-13.
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Mannel M. (G) 
Pepic M. 
Tashchy B. 
Kammerknecht C. 
Casar A. 
Sapina V. 
Fabisch J. 
Fallmann P. 
Kips T. (G) 
Dotchev P. 
Stamm T. 
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