Match Info

Turkish Cup - Round 2

Date: 15 January 2026, Thursday


	Erzurumspor		Çaykur Rizespor

	1	X	2
	4.33	3.3	1.75
	4.69	4.24	1.6	Watch
	4.54	4.14	1.66	Watch
	4.4	3.6	1.65
	4.81	3.86	1.65	Watch
	4.33	4.2	1.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.52 ↑ (4.45)	3.89 ↑ (3.35)	1.66 ↓ (1.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Erzurumspor
20.5%

Draw
23.8%

Çaykur Rizespor
55.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.7%

27.6%

51.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.8%

28.9%

54.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Erzurumspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Çaykur Rizespor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Erzurumspor than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Çaykur Rizespor than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
17.6%	11.8%	70.6%

Erzurumspor - Çaykur Rizespor Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Erzurumspor will win (votes: 3 - 17.6%). Rizespor will win (votes: 12 - 70.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rizespor: 48.9% – 92.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Erzurumspor (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Rizespor (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Anapa E. (G) 2. Ulgen A. 35. Erdem E. 4. Gerxhaliu A. 25. Kara O. 23. Bayrak C. 83. Onal M. 16. Kabak A. 11. Akpinar M. 10. Tozlu E. (C) 29. Sylla C.	1. Canpolat E. (G) 37. Sahin T. 4. Mocsi A. 2. Alikulov K. 54. Pala M. 14. Antalyali T. 99. Bulut E. 18. Buljubasic M. 10. Olawoyin I. 77. Zeqiri A. 11. Dervisoglu H.
Substitutes
8. Akgun S. 28. Billor M. 15. Giorbelidze G. 55. Karaoglan Y. 98. Moradaoglu K. (G) 65. Rodriguez M. 17. Sarikaya S. 9. Yener H.	3. Akaydin S. 50. Augusto L. 90. Capoglu B. 35. Dogan E. (G) 5. Hojer C. 20. Laci Q. 7. Mihaila V. 6. Papanikolaou G. 27. Sagnan M. 9. Sowe A.
Coaches
Ozbalta S.	Ucar R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
42', 1 - 0, Tozlu E. ⚽, Kabak A. (A),
45', Canpolat E. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Tozlu E. ↓, Rodriguez M. ↑,
46', Bayrak C. ↓, Giorbelidze G. ↑,
46', Gerxhaliu A. ↓, Yener H. ↑,
46', Ulgen A. ↓, Sarikaya S. ↑,
54', 2 - 0, Sarikaya S. ⚽, Giorbelidze G. (A),
56', Antalyali T. 🟨,
59', Zeqiri A. ↓, Mihaila V. ↑,
59', Bulut E. ↓, Sowe A. ↑,
59', Buljubasic M. ↓, Laci Q. ↑,
59', Olawoyin I. ↓, Augusto L. ↑,
66', Akpinar M. ↓, Akgun S. ↑,
80', Yener H. 🟨,
86', Sahin T. ↓, Hojer C. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Erzurumspor won 1.

Erzurumspor is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Rizespor's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Rizespor could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Erzurumspor won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:11. (average 0.8:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Erzurumspor won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 0.8:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Erzurumspor
Turkish First League
11.01.26	Sivasspor - Erzurumspor	0:2 ✺
28.12.25	Erzurumspor - Çorum	1:0 ✺
Turkish Cup
23.12.25	Kocaelispor - Erzurumspor	3:1 ✺
Turkish First League
20.12.25	Bandırmaspor - Erzurumspor	0:2 ✺
14.12.25	Erzurumspor - Bodrumspor	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WWLWT
- Çaykur Rizespor
Club Friendly
08.01.26	Çaykur Rizespor - Gençlerbirliği	1:2 ✺
Turkish Super League
20.12.25	Beşiktaş - Çaykur Rizespor	1:0 ✺
Turkish Cup
17.12.25	Çaykur Rizespor - Gaziantep	5:2 ✺
Turkish Super League
13.12.25	Çaykur Rizespor - Eyüpspor	3:0 ✺
06.12.25	Konyaspor - Çaykur Rizespor	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Turkish First League
09.04.23	Erzurumspor - Çaykur Rizespor	1:1
04.11.22	Çaykur Rizespor - Erzurumspor	3:1
Club Friendly
22.07.22	Erzurumspor - Çaykur Rizespor	2:3
Turkish Super League
12.02.21	Çaykur Rizespor - Erzurumspor	0:2
03.10.20	Erzurumspor - Çaykur Rizespor	0:0
03.02.19	Erzurumspor - Çaykur Rizespor	0:1
24.08.18	Çaykur Rizespor - Erzurumspor	0:0

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