The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Erzurumspor 16.1%
Draw 21.8%
Fenerbahçe 62.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
17.2%
23%
59.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
14.5%
19.4%
71.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Erzurumspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
Fenerbahçe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Erzurumspor than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fenerbahçe than the current prediction. (+9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fenerbahçe could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
11.7%
5.8%
82.5%
Erzurumspor - Fenerbahçe Predictions
Users Predictions:
Fenerbahçe will win
(113 of 137 users predict this - 82.48%). Confidence interval (95%): 76.11% – 88.85%.The data is statistically significant.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Preview
Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation to 1. Lig and 3 in the zone Promotion to Europa Conference League (Qualification)).
Erzurum BB has a good chance of relegated (78%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Fenerbahçe has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of qualify for ucl (42%), has a chance of win league (20%).
Erzurum BB is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Fenerbahçe is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Erzurum BB could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Fenerbahçe is indisputable favorite.
Last 2 head-to-head matches Erzurum BB won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.
Including matches at home between the teams Erzurum BB won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.
Watch
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