The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Erzurumspor 27.9%
Draw 30.1%
Gaziantep 42%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
30.3%
31.7%
38%
Our Initial ML Estimation
22.8%
23.9%
50.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Erzurumspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
Gaziantep has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Erzurumspor than the current prediction. (-5.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Erzurumspor that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gaziantep than the current prediction. (+8.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gaziantep could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
12.5%
12.5%
75%
Erzurumspor - Gaziantep Predictions
Users Predictions:
24 users predict this event. Erzurumspor will win (votes: 3 - 12.5%). Gaziantep will win (votes: 18 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 12.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for Gaziantep: 57.7% – 92.3%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation to 1. Lig and 4 in the zone Promotion to Europa Conference League (Qualification)).
Erzurum BB has a good chance of relegated (75%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Gaziantep BB has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of qualify for ucl (24%), has a small chance of win league (9%).
Recent matches Erzurum BB is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Gaziantep BB is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
Gaziantep BB will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 3 head-to-head matches Erzurum BB won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-3.
Including matches at home between the teams Erzurum BB won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.