Match Info

Date: 8 May 2021, Saturday


	Erzurumspor		Kasımpaşa

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.3	2.55	Watch
	2.7	3.25	2.55
	2.65	3.3	2.55	Watch
	2.65	3.25	2.55
	2.84	3.48	2.58
	2.7	3.25	2.55	Watch
	2.8	3.34	2.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.72 ↓ (2.72)	3.31 ↓ (3.32)	2.55 ↑ (2.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Erzurumspor
34.6%

Draw
28.5%

Kasımpaşa
36.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.6%

28.3%

37.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.8%

20.5%

26.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Erzurumspor have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Kasımpaşa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Erzurumspor than the current prediction. (+13.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Erzurumspor, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kasımpaşa than the current prediction. (-10%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kasımpaşa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Erzurumspor - Kasımpaşa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ 1. Lig and 16).

Erzurum BB has the most likely position - 19 (35%), has project points - 39, has currently - 37, has a good chance of relegated (83%), has not chance of qualify for ucl.

Kasımpaşa has the most likely position - 15 (17.53%), has project points - 44, has currently - 40, has a chance of relegated (21%), has not chance of qualify for ucl.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Erzurum BB could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Erzurum BB won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Erzurum BB won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Erzurumspor
Turkish Super League
03.05.21	Fenerbahçe - Erzurumspor	3:1 ✺
29.04.21	Erzurumspor - İstanbul Başakşehir	1:2 ✺
25.04.21	Gaziantep - Erzurumspor	2:3 ✺
21.04.21	Erzurumspor - Yeni Malatyaspor	1:0 ✺
17.04.21	Denizlispor - Erzurumspor	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 LLWWW
- Kasımpaşa
Turkish Super League
03.05.21	Kasımpaşa - Alanyaspor	3:0 ✺
25.04.21	Fenerbahçe - Kasımpaşa	3:2 ✺
22.04.21	Kasımpaşa - İstanbul Başakşehir	0:1 ✺
18.04.21	Gaziantep - Kasımpaşa	2:2 ✺
12.04.21	Kasımpaşa - Yeni Malatyaspor	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WLLTT

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Super League
18.01.21	Kasımpaşa - Erzurumspor	1:2
07.04.19	Kasımpaşa - Erzurumspor	2:1
27.10.18	Erzurumspor - Kasımpaşa	1:1

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