Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 1 - Round 16

Date: 15 December 2024, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Escobedo		Bergantiños

	1	X	2
	3.3	3	2.05
	3.45	3.1	2.06
	3.52	3.07	2.17
	3.47	3.08	2.11	Watch
	3.35	3.2	2.12
	3.45	3.1	2.06
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.42 ↓ (4.31)	3.09 ↓ (3.1)	2.1 ↑ (1.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Escobedo
26.7%

Draw
29.6%

Bergantiños
43.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21%

29.2%

49.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.3%

28.2%

51.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Escobedo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Escobedo's performance.

Bergantiños has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bergantiños might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Escobedo than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Escobedo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bergantiños than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bergantiños could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Escobedo - Bergantiños Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
54', 0 - 1, Moreno C. ⚽,
68', 1 - 1, Romero J. ⚽,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 13 in the zone Segunda RFEF ~ Play Out).

The competitors look crappy now.

Bergantiños could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Bergantiños will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UM Escobedo
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
07.12.24	Coruxo - Escobedo	3:0 ✺
01.12.24	Escobedo - Real Avilés	1:1 ✺
23.11.24	Guijuelo - Escobedo	1:1 ✺
17.11.24	Escobedo - Rayo Cantabria	0:5 ✺
10.11.24	Numancia - Escobedo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.5 LTTLT
- Bergantiños FC
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
08.12.24	Bergantiños - Marino de Luanco	1:2 ✺
01.12.24	Langreo - Bergantiños	1:4 ✺
16.11.24	Pontevedra - Bergantiños	1:0 ✺
09.11.24	Bergantiños - Compostela	0:4 ✺
03.11.24	Valladolid B - Bergantiños	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LWLLL

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